Department of Health Science Research, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN
Jun Yin , Romain Cohen , Zhaohui Jin , Heshan Liu , Levi Pederson , Richard Adams , Tim Maughan , Alan P. Venook , Eric Van Cutsem , Chiara Cremolini , Niall Tebbut , Matt Seymour , Carsten Bokemeyer , Eduardo Diaz-Rubio , Harpreet Singh Wasan , Volker Heinemann , Aimery De Gramont , Qian Shi , Heinz-Josef Lenz
Background: Unplanned subgroup analyses from several studies have suggested primary tumor sidedness (PTS) as a potential prognostic and predictive parameter in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). We aimed to investigate the prognostic and predictive impact of PTS on outcomes. Methods: PTS data of 7,828 mCRC patients (pts) from 10 first-line randomized trials in the ARCAD database were pooled. PTS was defined as right-sided (RS) or left-sided (LS) if tumor arose from the cecum to the hepatic flexure or from the splenic flexure to the rectum, respectively; transverse colon cancers were not included. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox models adjusting for age, sex, performance status (PS), prior radiation/chemo, and stratified by treatment arm. Predictive value was tested by interaction term between PTS and treatment (anti-EGFR plus chemotherapy vs. chemotherapy alone). Results: Compared to RS pts (2407, 31%), LS pts (5421, 69%) had better OS (median: 21.6 v 16.8 mos; HRadj: 0.73, 95% CI 0.69-0.78, P < .001) and PFS (median 8.4 v 7.2 mos; HRadj: 0.81, 95% CI 0.76-0.86, P < .001). Results were consistent among subgroups defined by age, sex, PS, metastatic sites and chemo backbone (irinotecan- and oxaliplatin-based). Interaction between PTS and KRAS mutation was significant (Pinteraction< .001): LS is associated with better prognosis only among KRAS wild-type (wt) (HRadj: OS 0.62, 95% CI, 0.55-0.70; PFS 0.71, 95% CI 0.63-0.80), but not among KRAS mutated pts. Among KRAS wt pts, survival benefit from anti-EGFR was observed for LS, but not for RS (table). Conclusions: The prognostic value of PTS is restricted to the KRAS wt population. PTS is predictive of anti-EGFR efficacy, with a significant improvement of survival for LS mCRC pts. These results suggest treatment stratification in mCRC studies by both PTS and KRAS status.
Anti-EGFR + chemo | Chemo alone | HRadj, 95% CI | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|
OS, median (mos) | ||||
LS | 22.8 | 20.4 | 0.85 (.75,.97) | 0.012 |
RS | 12.0 | 14.4 | 1.26 (.98,1.63) | 0.076 |
PFS, median (mos) | ||||
LS | 9.6 | 8.4 | 0.77 (.67,.88) | < .001 |
RS | 7.2 | 7.2 | 1.02 (.77,1.34) | 0.91 |
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