Predictive and prognostic value of gender in early-stage colon cancer: A pooled analysis of 33,345 patients from the ACCENT database.

Authors

null

W. Y. Cheung

British Columbia Cancer Agency, Vancouver, BC, Canada

W. Y. Cheung , Q. Shi , M. O'Connell , J. Cassidy , C. D. Blanke , D. J. Kerr , E. Van Cutsem , S. R. Alberts , G. A. Yothers , D. J. Sargent

Organizations

British Columbia Cancer Agency, Vancouver, BC, Canada, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project Biostatistical Center, Pittsburgh, PA, University of Glasgow/Beatson West of Scotland Cancer Centre, Glasgow, United Kingdom, University of British Columbia/British Columbia Cancer Agency, Vancouver, BC, Canada, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, University Hospital Gasthuisberg, Leuven, Belgium, NSABP Biostatistical Center and University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health Department of Biostatistics, Pittsburgh, PA

Research Funding

No funding sources reported

Background: While gender has been shown to be a predictive and prognostic factor in certain cancers, data for colon cancer (CC) are conflicting, with prior studies mainly focusing on 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) alone. To clarify the influence of gender on CC outcomes, our aims were to 1) compare outcomes between men and women in a large cohort of patients (pts) with early stage disease and 2) describe whether the effect of gender varies based on age, stage, time period and type of adjuvant therapy received. Methods: A pooled, retrospective analysis of individual data from 33,345 CC pts enrolled in 24 trials of various adjuvant systemic therapies was conducted. Chemotherapy consisted of 1) 5-FU, 2) 5-FU variations, 3) oxaliplatin, 4) irinotecan, or 5) oral-based regimens. The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS); secondary endpoints included overall survival (OS) and time to recurrence (TTR). Cox proportional hazard models and interaction analyses were used to explore the effect of gender on outcomes. Results: We included 18,245 men and 15,100 women. Baseline characteristics were comparable between genders: median age was 61 years; 91% were White; 31% and 69% had stage II and III disease, respectively, in the entire cohort. Overall, men had inferior prognoses when compared to women for all endpoints, even after adjusting for age, stage and treatment (Table). Gender was not a predictive factor of treatment efficacy (interaction p for gender and treatment = 0.39, 0.61 and 0.78 for DFS, OS and TTR, respectively). In exploratory analyses, worse outcomes in men were more prominent in the older subset (HR 1.08 in age≤65 vs. 1.19 in age>65, interaction p=0.006 for DFS and HR 1.11 in age≤65 vs. 1.19 in age>65, interaction p=0.02 for OS). Stage of disease, study time period and type of adjuvant regimen did not modify the prognostic value of gender. Conclusions: Gender is a modest independent prognostic marker in early stage CC, particularly in older pts.


Prognostic value of gender.

Outcome Gender Hazard
ratio
(95% CI)
5-year
outcome
rate
P value

DFS Women 1.0 67.4% <0.001
Men 1.12 (1.08-1.16) 62.2%
OS Women 1.0 72.7% <0.001
Men 1.13 (1.09-1.18) 70.3%
TTR Women 1.0 67.4% <0.001
Men 1.06 (1.02-1.09) 66.2%

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2011 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Gastrointestinal (Colorectal) Cancer

Track

Gastrointestinal Cancer—Colorectal and Anal

Sub Track

Colorectal Cancer

Citation

J Clin Oncol 29: 2011 (suppl; abstr 3619)

Abstract #

3619

Poster Bd #

20C

Abstract Disclosures