Cost-effectiveness analyses of population-based multi-gene testing for the prevention of breast and ovarian cancer in the United States.

Authors

null

Fangjian Guo

University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, TX

Fangjian Guo , Victor Adekanmbi , Ya-Chen Tina Shih , Abbey Berenson , Yong-Fang Kuo

Organizations

University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, TX, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX

Research Funding

U.S. National Institutes of Health
U.S. National Institutes of Health

Background: The current method of testing for BRCA gene mutations, which is based on family history, often fails to identify many carriers. With the advancement of next-generation sequencing technologies, which have significantly lowered the cost of genetic testing and sequencing, population-based testing has been proposed. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of population-based multi-gene testing as a means of preventing breast and ovarian cancer. Methods: We developed a microsimulation model to assess the cost-effectiveness of multi-gene testing (BRCA1/BRCA2/PALB2) for all women aged 30-35 years compared to the current standard of care that is family history-based. We selected these genes for analyses as they are most prevalent high penetrance genes. We assumed a test uptake rate of 70%. Carriers of pathogenic variants who were not affected by cancer were offered interventions, such as MRI/mammography, chemoprevention, or risk-reducing mastectomy and risk-reducing salpingo-ophorectomy (RRSO), to reduce the risk of breast and ovarian cancer. We incorporated excess coronary heart disease (CHD) deaths from premenopausal RRSO. Our main outcome measure was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER)(i.e., cost per-quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained), with the commonly used societal willingness to pay of $100,000/QALY in the US as the C-E threshold. We ran 500 simulations on 1,000,000 women, employing a lifetime time horizon and payer perspective, and adjusted the cost to 2022 US dollar. We also used probabilistic sensitivity analyses to evaluate model uncertainty. Results: In the base case, population-based multi-gene testing is more cost-effective compared to family-history based testing, with an ICER of $41,306/QALY (95%CI $35,630-$48,441/QALY). This new testing method is able to prevent an additional 1,369 cases of breast cancer and 807 cases of ovarian cancer, but it will also result in 8 excess heart-disease deaths per million women. The probabilistic sensitivity analyses show that the probability that population-based multi-gene testing is cost-effective is 100% for all the simulations. When the cost of the test exceeds $1,100 population-based multi-gene testing becomes economically inefficient (ICER $10,0886/QALY). Conclusions: Population-based multi-gene testing is a more cost-effective option for the prevention of breast cancer and ovarian cancer when compared to current family-history-based testing methods.

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2023 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Prevention, Risk Reduction, and Hereditary Cancer

Track

Prevention, Risk Reduction, and Genetics

Sub Track

Cancer Prevention

Citation

J Clin Oncol 41, 2023 (suppl 16; abstr 10596)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2023.41.16_suppl.10596

Abstract #

10596

Poster Bd #

229

Abstract Disclosures

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