Cost-effectiveness of targeted genomic risk provision to prevent skin cancer: Results of a randomized trial.

Authors

null

Chi Kin Law

NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, University Of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia

Chi Kin Law , Amelia K Smit , Anne E. Cust , Lyndal Trevena , Pablo Fernandez Penas , Omgo E. Nieweg , Alexander M. Menzies , Sarah Wordsworth , Rachael L. Morton

Organizations

NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, University Of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia, Sydney School of Public Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia, Sydney School of Public Health, and Melanoma Institute Australia, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia, School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Department of Dermatology, Westmead Hospital/Sydney Medical School, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia, Melanoma Institute Australia, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia, Melanoma Institute Australia, The University of Sydney, and Royal North Shore and Mater Hospitals, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Health Economics Research Centre, Nuffield Department of population health, Oxford, United Kingdom, Melanoma Institute Australia, NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Research Funding

Other

Background: Many melanomas and keratinocyte cancers (KC) are preventable by reducing sun exposure and improving sun protection behaviors. Recent evidence indicates a melanoma prevention program involving personalized genomic risk information provision can reduce self-reported sunburns at 12 months in Australian adults with no history of melanoma. This was alongside genetic counselling and educational materials on skin cancer prevention and early detection. However, the economic impact of this approach was unclear. This study aimed to determine the cost-effectiveness of the program to prevent melanoma and KC. Methods: A decision-analytic Markov model was developed to simulate the lifetime cost-effectiveness of personalized genomic risk provision compared with standard prevention advice alone, from a health system perspective. We used data from the Melanoma Genomics Managing Your Risk Study Randomized Control Trial. Traditional risk was measured by a validated melanoma risk prediction model involving hair color, nevus density, history of non-melanoma skin cancer, family history of melanoma, level of sunbed sessions. Quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gained was the primary outcome measure used to estimate an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Both deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) were undertaken. Results: The cost of the genomic testing and risk counselling program was AUD$189 (USD$132) per participant. Genomic risk provision targeting high-traditional risk individuals was the most cost-effective lifetime strategy with an ICER of AUD$23,033 (USD$16,059) per QALY gained and an 80% probability of being cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of AUD$50,000, compared with standard preventive advice (Table). When genomic risk provision was extended to low-traditional risk groups the ICER was $43,746 (USD30,500) per QALY gained with a 45% probability of being cost-effective. Conclusions: Genomic risk provision targeted to individuals at high-traditional risk of melanoma is a cost-effective strategy for the prevention of melanoma and KCs. Long-term sustainability of the program’s effect should be examined in future research. Clinical trial information: ACTRN12617000691347.

Modelled strategies for comparison
Total lifetime costs (AUD)
Incremental costs (AUD)
QALYs
Incremental QALY
ICER
Probability of being cost-effective
Standard prevention advice alone
3507
19.194
Genomic risk provision targeting high traditional-risk individuals
3586
79
19.198
0.004
23033
0.8024
Genomic risk provision targeting high traditional-risk individuals
3586
19.198
Genomic risk provision to low and high traditional risk individuals
3672
86
19.200
0.002
43746
0.4467

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2022 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Prevention, Risk Reduction, and Hereditary Cancer

Track

Prevention, Risk Reduction, and Genetics

Sub Track

Cancer Prevention

Clinical Trial Registration Number

ACTRN12617000691347

Citation

J Clin Oncol 40, 2022 (suppl 16; abstr 10536)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2022.40.16_suppl.10536

Abstract #

10536

Poster Bd #

412

Abstract Disclosures

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