Microsatellite instability (MSI), mismatch repair (MMR), and tumor mutational burden (TMB) as predictive biomarkers for immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) effectiveness in real-world patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC).

Authors

null

Haley Ellis

Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA;

Haley Ellis , Samuel J Klempner , Julia C. F. C. F. Quintanilha , Parvathi Myer , Douglas I. Lin , Nicole Panarelli , Virginia Fisher , Gerald Li , Richard S.P. Huang , Jeffrey S. Ross , Geoffrey R. Oxnard , Ryon Graf

Organizations

Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA; , Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA; , Foundation Medicine Inc, Boston, MA; , Albert Einstein Cancer Center, New York, NY; , Foundation Medicine Inc, Cambridge, MA; , Foundation Medicine Inc, Morrisville, NC;

Research Funding

Pharmaceutical/Biotech Company
Foundation Medicine, Inc

Background: The KEYNOTE-177 randomized controlled trial demonstrated that mCRC patients with MSI high (MSI-H) and/or deficient MMR (dMMR) have better outcomes on first-line ICI than chemotherapy. This study aimed to evaluate MSI by next-generation sequencing (NGS) as a predictive biomarker of ICI effectiveness in real-world settings, and compare MSI (NGS), dMMR (immunohistochemistry, IHC), and TMB (10 mut/Mb cutoff) in predicting ICI outcomes. Methods: A prospectively declared statistical analysis plan compared the effectiveness of first-line treatment ICI versus chemotherapy in patients with MSI-H mCRC, and compared the predictive power of ICI outcomes associated with biomarkers in any line of therapy (LOT). Patient data was obtained by the US-based de-identified Flatiron Health-Foundation Medicine real-world mCRC clinico-genomic database (FH-FMI CGDB), originating from ~280 US cancer clinics between Jan/2011 and Dec/2021. Differences in progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated by Cox proportional hazard models, adjusted for a risk score generated from prognostic clinical features. The likelihood ratio test evaluated the superiority of a biomarker in anticipating outcomes. Results: Patients with MSI-H mCRC had more favorable outcomes receiving first-line ICI (n=49) than chemotherapy (n=89) for PFS (median 24.87 vs. 5.65 months, hazard ratio (HR): 0.31, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.18-0.52, p <0.0001) and OS (median not reached (NR) vs. 24.1 months, HR: 0.45, 95% CI 0.23-0.88, p = 0.02). mCRC patients receiving ICI in any LOT (n=182) had favorable outcomes when MSI-H, dMMR, or TMB ≥10 (all p <0.001). MSI (NGS) and MMR (IHC) were 90% concordant. MSI reclassified six cases that were proficient (p)MMR (all with TMB >10, three with mutations in MMR genes, and 5 with BRAF mutation, consistent with MSI biology). When MSI (NGS) is added to dMMR (IHC) evaluation, there is an improvement in the prediction of TTNT (p = 0.0013), PFS (p = 0.0202), and OS (p = 0.0717), but adding MMR status to MSI did not improve explanatory power. Conclusions: MSI (NGS) robustly identifies mCRC patients with favorable outcomes on first-line ICI vs. chemotherapy, and is a nominally better predictor of ICI outcomes when compared with dMMR (IHC) alone. dMMR (IHC), MSI (NGS), and TMB have similar predictive power for ICI benefit.

dMMR (n=82) vs. pMMR (n=100)MSI-H (n=83) vs. MSS (n=99)TMB ≥10 (n=101) vs. TMB <10 (n=81)
PFS
Median (months)11.9 vs. 2.512.19 vs. 2.466.90 vs. 2.17
HR (95% CI)0.38 (0.25-0.56)0.32 (0.21-0.47)0.31 (0.21-0.45)
OS
Median (months)NR vs. 6.6NR vs. 6.57NR vs. 6.41
HR (95% CI)0.36 (0.11-0.61)0.25 (0.14-0.44)0.30 (0.19-0.49)

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2023 ASCO Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Poster Session C: Cancers of the Colon, Rectum, and Anus

Track

Colorectal Cancer,Anal Cancer

Sub Track

Patient-Reported Outcomes and Real-World Evidence

Citation

J Clin Oncol 41, 2023 (suppl 4; abstr 46)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2023.41.4_suppl.46

Abstract #

46

Poster Bd #

C1

Abstract Disclosures