Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy
Chiara Ciccarese , Roberto Iacovelli , Emilio Bria , Giovanni Schinzari , Ernesto Rossi , Serena Astore , Maria Antonella Cannella , Tatiana D'Angelo , Carlo Maria Cicala , Maria Grazia Maratta , Giampaolo Tortora
Background: Combinations of a PD-1/PD-L1 immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) with a VEGFR-TKI as front-line/treatment-naïve therapy significantly improve the outcome of metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) patients. The benefit of these combinations is well evident in IMDC intermediate- and poor-risk population, while it is unclear in the subgroup of mRCC patients with favorable prognosis. We performed a meta-analysis with the aim to evaluate whether the addition of ICIs to VEGFR-TKIs is able to improve the outcome compared to VEGFR-TKIs alone in mRCC patients with favorable IMDC prognosis. Methods: This meta-analysis searched MEDLINE/PubMed, the Cochrane Library and ASCO Meeting abstracts for phase II or III randomized clinical trials (RCTs) testing the combination of VEGFR-TKI+ICI in mRCC. Data extraction was conducted according to the PRISMA statement. The hazard ratios (HRs) for PFS and OS with the relative 95% CIs were extracted from each study. Summary HRs was calculated using random- or fixed-effects models, depending on the heterogeneity of the included studies. Results: Three RCTs were selected for the final analysis, with a total of 605 patients (306 treated with VEGFR-TKI+ICI combinations and 299 who received sunitinib in the control arms). The combination of VEGFR-TKI+ICI improved PFS compared to sunitinib, with a 30% reduction of the risk of progression (fixed-effect, HR=0.70; p = 0.003). However, VEGFR-TKI+ICI combinations did not significantly prolong OS (fixed-effect; HR = 0.94; 95% CI 0.62–1.43; p = 0.77). Conclusions: Our analysis demonstrates a PFS benefit without an OS advantage for VEGFR-TKI+ICI combinations as first-line therapy for mRCC patients with favourable prognosis according to IMDC. Longer follow-up is required to definitely confirm the best therapy for treatment-naïve mRCC patients with favorable prognosis.
Trial | Trial Design | Jadad score | PFS HR, 95%CI | OS HR, 95%CI | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Experimental | Control | ||||||
Drug | Pts* (N) | Drug | Pts* (N) | ||||
KEYNOTE-426 | Pembrolizumab + Axitinib | 138 | Sunitinib | 131 | 3 | 0.79 (0.57 – 1.09) | 1.06 (0.60 – 1.86) |
JAVELIN Renal 101 | Avelumab + Axitinib | 94 | Sunitinib | 96 | 3 | 0.62 (0.39 – 0.98) | 0.81 (0.33 – 1.96) |
CheckMate 9ER | Nivolumab + Cabozantinib | 74 | Sunitinib | 72 | NA | 0.62 (0.38 – 1.01) | 0.84 (0.35 – 1.97) |
Total | ~ICI+TKI combinations | 306 | Sunitinib | 229 | / | 0.70 (0.56 - 0.89), p = 0.003 Heterogeneity: Chi² = 0.99, df = 2 (P = 0.61); I² = 0% | 0.94 (0.62 - 1.43), p = 0.77 Heterogeneity: Chi² = 0.36, df = 2 (P = 0.83); I² = 0% |
* patients with favorable IMDC prognosis NA = not applicable
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