A pooled analysis of multicenter cohort studies of post-surgery circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in early stage colorectal cancer (CRC).

Authors

Jeanne Tie

Jeanne Tie

The Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research; Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Melbourne, Australia

Jeanne Tie , Joshua Cohen , Yuxuan Wang , Lu Li , Margaret Lee , Rachel Wong , Suzanne Kosmider , Hui-Li Wong , Belinda Lee , Matthew E. Burge , Desmond Yip , Christos Stelios Karapetis , Timothy Jay Price , Niall C. Tebbutt , Andrew Mark Haydon , Cristian Tomasetti , Nickolas Papadopoulos , Kenneth W. Kinzler , Bert Vogelstein , Peter Gibbs

Organizations

The Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research; Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Melbourne, Australia, Ludwig Center and Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Sidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, Department of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, The Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research, Melbourne, Australia, Eastern Health, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia, Western Health, Melbourne, Australia, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Australia, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Brisbane, Australia, ANU Medical School, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia, Flinders Medical Centre, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia, Olivia Newton-John Cancer and Wellness Centre, Victoria, Australia, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Australia, Division of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Department of Oncology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, Australia

Research Funding

Other
U.S. National Institutes of Health

Background: Studies in multiple tumor types have demonstrated the prognostic impact of ctDNA analysis after curative intent surgery. Emerging data suggest that conversion of ctDNA from detectable to undetectable after adjuvant chemotherapy may reflect treatment efficacy. Further review of existing study data could increase the precision of ctDNA guided adjuvant therapy decision making. Methods: We combined individual patient (pt) data from three independent prospective cohort studies that enrolled 485 pts with stage II or III CRC. Clinicians were blinded to ctDNA results. We evaluated pt outcomes over a 5-year follow-up period (median, 47.2 months). Plasma samples were collected 4 to 10 weeks after surgery. Mutations in ctDNA were assayed using Safe-SeqS. Results: ctDNA was detected after surgery in 59 (12%) pts overall (11.0%, 12.5% and 13.8% respectively for samples taken at 4-6, 6-8 and 8-10 weeks; P = 0.740). ctDNA detection was associated with nodal status; 8.7%, 16.7% and 32.4% in N0, N1 and N2 disease (P < 0.001), but remained an independent adverse prognostic factor in multivariable analysis. ctDNA detection was associated with poor overall survival for pts treated (mortality ratio, 3.0; P = 0.026) or not treated with adjuvant chemotherapy (mortality ratio, 5.17; P < 0.001). The median MAF (mutant allele frequency) in pts with detectable ctDNA was 0.046%. For pts not treated with adjuvant chemotherapy, 3 year recurrence free survival (RFS) was 9% in pts with a MAF > 0.046% vs 33% with a MAF ≤ 0.046% (HR, 2.7; P = 0.032). For chemotherapy treated pts, 3 year RFS was 25% in pts with a MAF > 0.046% vs 70% with a MAF ≤ 0.046 (HR, 3.1; P = 0.025). In 90 pts with recurrence, ctDNA had been detected post surgery in 3 of 20 (15%) with locoregional recurrence, 27 of 60 (45%) with distant recurrence and 5 of 10 (50%) with both (P = 0.044). Conclusions: Where samples for ctDNA analysis were collected 4 to 10 weeks post surgery, sampling timing may not significantly impact detection rates. The prognostic significance of ctDNA detection can be further stratified by MAF level, but MAF level may not impact adjuvant treatment benefit. ctDNA analysis is most sensitive for detecting minimal residual disease at distant sites.

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2019 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Discussion Session

Session Title

Gastrointestinal (Colorectal) Cancer

Track

Gastrointestinal Cancer—Colorectal and Anal

Sub Track

Epidemiology/Outcomes

Citation

J Clin Oncol 37, 2019 (suppl; abstr 3518)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2019.37.15_suppl.3518

Abstract #

3518

Poster Bd #

10

Abstract Disclosures