Nomogram for lymph node metastasis prediction with early gastric cancer patients: To decide additional gastrectomy after endoscopic dissection.

Authors

null

Su Mi Kim

Samsung Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea

Su Mi Kim , Byung-Hoon Min , Ji Yeong An , Min-Gew Choi , Keun Won Ryu , Young Woo Kim , Sin-Ho Jung , Tae Sung Sohn , Jae-Moon Bae , Sung Kim , Jae J. Kim , Jun Ho Lee

Organizations

Samsung Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea, Samsung Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea, Center for Gastric Cancer, National Cancer Center, Goyang, South Korea, Graduate School of Cancer Science and Policy and Research Institute and Hospital, National Cancer Center, Goyang, South Korea, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, Department of Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea

Research Funding

Other

Background: Accurate prediction of metastatic lymph node is critical to avoid unnecessary gastrectomy and improve quality of life for patients with early gastric cancer. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a nomogram for prediction of lymph node metastasis in early gastric cancer patients. Methods: We reviewed the clinicopathological data of 10595 patients who underwent curative resection for early gastric cancer from 2001 to 2015 at Samsung Medical Center. This model was externally validated by 2100 patients who underwent curative resection for gastric cancer in National Cancer Center. Multivariate analysis using the Cox proportional hazard regression model was performed to develop the nomogram, and discrimination and calibration were evaluated by external validation. Overall survival, disease free survival, and recurrence free survival were compared between gastrectomy groups of 6641 patients and endoscopic dissection group of 999 patients who was performed the treatment in Samsung Medical Center for early gastric cancer by risk on nomogram to demonstrate the efficacy of nomogram. Results: Multivariate analyses revealed that age, tumor size, lymphatic invasion, depth of invasion, and histologic differentiation were significant prognostic factors for lymph node metastasis. The nomogram had good discrimination with a concordance index of 0.845 [95% confidence interval 0.832-0.858], supported by an external validation point of 0.813[95% confidence interval 0.786-0.84]. In low risk on nomogram, endoscopic dissection group had similar overall survival (P = 0.319), disease free survival (P = 0.469) and recurrence free survival (P = 0.091) compared to gastrectomy group. Conclusions: We developed and validated a nomogram predicting lymph node metastasis for early gastric cancer based on a large database. This personalized nomogram is useful to avoid unnecessary gastrectomy after endoscopic dissection resulting in improved quality of life for early gastric cancer patients.

Disclaimer

This material on this page is ©2024 American Society of Clinical Oncology, all rights reserved. Licensing available upon request. For more information, please contact licensing@asco.org

Abstract Details

Meeting

2017 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Gastrointestinal (Noncolorectal) Cancer

Track

Gastrointestinal Cancer—Gastroesophageal, Pancreatic, and Hepatobiliary

Sub Track

Esophageal or Gastric Cancer

Citation

J Clin Oncol 35, 2017 (suppl; abstr 4045)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2017.35.15_suppl.4045

Abstract #

4045

Poster Bd #

37

Abstract Disclosures

Similar Abstracts

First Author: Furukawa Kenichiro

Abstract

2024 ASCO Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium

Gastric microbiome signature to predict metachronous recurrence after endoscopic resection of gastric neoplasms.

First Author: Hokyoung Lee

Abstract

2023 ASCO Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium

The optimal extent of lymph node dissection for gastric cancer with para-aortic lymph node metastases.

First Author: Takeyuki Wada