Winship Cancer Institute of Emory University, Atlanta, GA
David H. Lawson , Robert W. Cook , Clare Johnson , Maria C. Russell , Rodabe Navroze Amaria , Jeff Wilkinson , Pedram Gerami , Derek Maetzold , Laura Ferris , Kristen M. Oelschlager , Anthony Greisinger , Rene Gonzalez , T Christopher Windham , Brooke Middlebrook , Keith A. Delman , Stephen Lyle
Background: A GEP has been validated as an independent predictor of DM, distant metastasis free survival (DMFS) and overall survival (OS) (Gerami, CCR 2015; Gerami JAAD, 2015). This abstract combines the third validation cohort study with the two prior studies for analysis by T factor subgroups.Methods: 555 patients (pts) were enrolled in a multi-center IRB approved archival tissue study with a primary endpoint of DMFS. 492 CMs had T-factors available for analysis. Quantitative RT-PCR and Radial Basis Machine modeling classified CM tumors as low risk Class 1 vs. high risk Class 2. Results are reported for thin (T1), intermediate (T2/T3) and thick (T4) lesions. Most patients were node negative clinically or by sentinel node biopsy.Results: GEP Class 1 vs 2 was found to be a significant predictor of DMFS and OS (log-Rank p<0.0001), and GEP, Breslow’s thickness, and ulceration were independent predictors in Cox multivariate analysis (DMFS HR=2.7, p=0.0003; 2.2, p=0.03; 3.3, p<0.0001, respectively and OS HR=2.8, p=0.0002, 2.5, p=0.01, 1.7, p=0.01, respectively). In the T2/T3 N0 cohort (n=180) frequency of class 2 signature increases with depth [T2:35/78 (45%) Class 2; T3:75/102 (74%) Class 2] and ulceration [nonulcerated: 54/108 (50%) Class 2; ulcerated: 53/63 (84%) Class 2]. The table reflects survival analysis in this cohort. In the T1 group (median followup for non-DM group = 7.4 yrs) 14/173 (8%) reported DM. For T4 group: 42/80 (53%) developed DM. Data not considered adequate for further analysis of either group.Conclusions: GEP offers prognostic information that complements conventional staging at least in patients with T2/T3 CM. Ongoing studies will further define the role of GEP in evaluating these patients.
DM | all cause deaths | |
---|---|---|
Total events | 51/180 (28%) | 47/180 (26%) |
Class 1 | 7/70 (10%) | 7/70 (10%) |
Class 2 | 44/110 (40%) | 40/110 (36%) |
Of ulcerated primaries | ||
Class 1 | 5/19 (26%) | 5/19 (26%) |
Class 2 | 28/53 (53%) | 21/53 (40%) |
K-M* analysis | ||
Class 1 5-yr rate | 91% | 90% |
Class 2 5-yr rate | 58% | 63% |
p-value | <0.0001 | <0.0001 |
Cox multivariate** | HR (p-value) | HR (p-value) |
GEP | 3.9 (0.003) | 5.3 (0.0007) |
ulceration | 2.6 (0.002) | 1.5 (0.203) |
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