Prediction of resistance to bevacizumab plus FOLFOX in metastatic colorectal cancer using a multi-marker panel and a machine-learning approach: Final results of the prospective multicenter PERMAD trial.

Authors

null

Hans A. Kestler

Ulm University - Institute of Medical Systems Biology, Ulm, Germany

Hans A. Kestler , Thomas Jens Ettrich , Alexander Stein , Dirk Arnold , Gerald W. Prager , Stefan Kasper , Michael Niedermeier , Lothar Müller , Stefan Kubicka , Alexander Koenig , Petra Buechner-Steudel , Andreas Berger , Kai Wille , Angelika Kestler , Johann M. Kraus , Silke Werle , Lukas Perkhofer , Ludwig Lausser , Thomas Seufferlein

Organizations

Ulm University - Institute of Medical Systems Biology, Ulm, Germany, Ulm University Hospital, Department of Internal Medicine I, Ulm, Germany, Hämatologisch Onkologische Praxis Eppendorf (HOPE) and Universitäres Cancer Center Hamburg, Universitätsklinikum Hamburg Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany, Asklepios Tumorzentrum Hamburg, Asklepios Klinik Altona, Hamburg, Germany, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria, University Hospital Essen, West German Cancer Center, Essen, Germany, Private Practice, Memmingen, Germany, Oncological Practice UnterEms, Leer, Germany, Kreiskliniken Reutlingen GmbH, Reutlingen, Germany, University Medical Center Goettingen, Department of Gastroenterology, Gastrointestinal Oncology, and Endocrinology, Goettingen, Germany, University Hospital Halle, Halle, Germany, Evangelisches Krankenhaus Königin Elisabeth Herzberge gGmbH, Berlin, Germany, University Hospital Ruhr-University-Bochum, Minden, Germany

Research Funding

Sanofi Aventis

Background: Anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) are widely used for tumor treatment, including metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). So far, there are no biomarkers that reliably predict resistance to anti-VEGF mAbs like bevacizumab. A biomarker-guided strategy for early and accurate assessment of resistance could avoid the use of non-effective treatment and improve patient outcomes. We hypothesized that repeated analysis of multiple cytokines and angiogenic growth factors (CAFs) before and during treatment using machine learning could provide an accurate and earlier, i.e., 100 days before conventional radiologic staging, prediction of resistance to first-line mCRC treatment with FOLFOX plus bevacizumab. Methods: 15 German and Austrian centers prospectively recruited 154 mCRC patients receiving FOLFOX plus bevacizumab as first-line treatment. Plasma samples were collected every two weeks until radiologic progression (RECIST 1.1) as determined by CT scans performed every 2 months. 102 pre-selected CAFs were centrally analyzed using a cytokine multiplex assay (Luminex, Myriad RBM). Results: Using random forest machine learning, we developed a predictive model that discriminated between the situations of ”no progress within 100 days before radiological progress” and ”progress within 100 days before radiological progress”. Into this we incorporated a combination of ten out of the 102 CAF markers, which fulfilled this task with 81% accuracy, 72% sensitivity, and 88% specificity. Conclusions: Using artificial intelligence we identified a CAF marker combination that indicates treatment resistance to FOLFOX plus bevacizumab in patients with mCRC within 100 days prior to radiologic progress. Further studies are required to show its clinical value. Clinical trial information: NCT02331927.

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2024 ASCO Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Poster Session C: Cancers of the Colon, Rectum, and Anus

Track

Colorectal Cancer,Anal Cancer

Sub Track

Tumor Biology, Biomarkers, and Pathology

Clinical Trial Registration Number

NCT02331927

Citation

J Clin Oncol 42, 2024 (suppl 3; abstr 204)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2024.42.3_suppl.204

Abstract #

204

Poster Bd #

M12

Abstract Disclosures