Rabin Medical Center, Petah Tikva, Israel
Baruch Brenner , Yakatherina Shulman , Ayala Hubert , Sofia Man , Ravit Geva , Irit Ben-Aharon , Shlomit Fennig , Moshe Mishaeli , Nirit Yarom , Gil Bar-Sela , Ronen Brenner , Ayelet Shay , Lior Soussan-Gutman , Hillary Voet , Avital Bareket-Samish , Nicky Liebermann
Background: The role of adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) in stage II CC is debated. The validated 12-gene Oncotype DX Colon Recurrence Score test provides a Recurrence Score (RS) result (range, 0-100) which estimates recurrence risk (RR) in stage II/III pts. We studied treatment and clinical outcomes in CC pts in whom treatment decisions incorporated the RS result. Methods: This prospectively designed cohort study included all stage II, MMR-P, CC pts who underwent the 12-gene Oncotype DX testing through Clalit between 1/2011 and 12/2016 and had available data with minimum 3-yr follow-up. Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimates and log-rank tests were used to compare RR and CC specific mortality (CCSM) between RS categories. Multivariable analysis (MVA) identified variables associated with RR/CCSM. Results: The analysis included 938 pts. Median age, 68 (IQR, 60-76) yrs; 96% had T3 tumors, and 89% had ≥12 nodes examined. Median RS was 26 (IQR, 19-33). The 3 RS categories (0-29, 30-40, and 41-100) included 65%, 24%, and 11% of pts, respectively. The overall CT use rate was 24%, with a significant difference between the 3 categories (14%, 36%, and 60%, respectively, P< .0001). Pts with very low RS (0-15) comprised 14% of the cohort (CT use rate, 11%). Younger pts, and those with invasion/perforation/obstruction were more likely to receive CT. Clinical outcomes with a median follow up of 6.9 (IQR, 5.5-8.6) yrs are presented (Table). Among untreated pts, KM estimates for RR and CCSM differed significantly between the 3 RS categories (P< .0001). Outcome of untreated RS 0-15 pts was excellent. In an MVA model, male sex, presence of invasion/perforation/obstruction and higher RS category (RS 41-100 vs 0-29 and vs 30-40, but not RS 30-40 vs 0-29) were associated with increased RR. For CCSM, the results were similar, but this time age ≥70 yrs replaced sex as a significant prognostic variable. Clinical outcomes within each RS group did not differ significantly between treated and untreated pts, but were numerically better with CT in the RS 41-100 group. Conclusions: This real-world analysis showed that the RS results provide independent prognostic information in stage II CC. Further studies are needed to investigate the potential role of the RS result as a predictor of CT benefit, but the data suggest that this benefit may be limited to pts with high RS results.
RS group | N (%) | N untreated | N CT-treated | 5-yr recurrence risk (95% CI) | 5-yr CCSM (95% CI) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Untreated | CT | Untreated | CT | ||||
Very low: 0-15 | 136 (14%) | 121 | 15 | 6.2% (3.0-12.4%) | 13.3% (3.4-40.5%) | 3.4% (1.3-8.8%) | 13.3% (3.4-40.5%) |
Low: 0-29 | 606 (65%) | 524 | 82 | 13.0% (10.3-16.2%) | 15.7% (9.3-25.1%) | 4.7% (3.1-6.9%) | 6.1% (2.5-13.7%) |
Int.: 30-40 | 225 (24%) | 143 | 82 | 15.8% (10.6-22.9%) | 18.3% (11.3-28.1%) | 5.0% (2.4-10.2%) | 3.7% (1.2-10.9%) |
High: 41-100 | 107 (11%) | 43 | 64 | 30.6% (18.2-46.6%) | 24.3% (15.4-36.0%) | 19.0% (9.3-34.9%) | 17.0% (9.7-28.2%) |
Disclaimer
This material on this page is ©2024 American Society of Clinical Oncology, all rights reserved. Licensing available upon request. For more information, please contact licensing@asco.org
Abstract Disclosures
2024 ASCO Annual Meeting
First Author: Alberto Puccini
2024 ASCO Annual Meeting
First Author: Ingrid A. Franken
2023 ASCO Annual Meeting
First Author: Sara M. Tolaney
2023 ASCO Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium
First Author: David Viñal