Assessment of risk of overall and late distant recurrence by Breast Cancer Index in postmenopausal women with early-stage, HR+ breast cancer in the TEAM trial.

Authors

null

John MS Bartlett

Cancer Research UK Scotland Centre, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom

John MS Bartlett , Keying Xu , Jenna Wong , Gregory Russell Pond , Yi Zhang , Melanie Spears , Ranelle C. Salunga , Elizabeth Mallon , Karen J Taylor , Annette Hasenburg , Christos Markopoulos , Luc Yves Dirix , Caroline M. Seynaeve , Cornelis J.H. Van De Velde , Daniel William Rea , Catherine A Schnabel , Kai Treuner , Jane Bayani

Organizations

Cancer Research UK Scotland Centre, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom, Unity Health Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada, Biotheranostics, A Hologic Company, San Diego, CA, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada, Ontario Institute for Cancer Research, Toronto, ON, Canada, Department of Pathology, Glasgow, United Kingdom, Glasgow, United Kingdom, University Medical Center Mainz, Mainz, Germany, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Medical School, Athens, Greece, GZA Ziekenhuizen Antwerpen campus Sint-Augustinus, Antwerpen, Belgium, Erasmus MC - Kanker Instituut locatie Danïel den Hoed, Rotterdam, Netherlands, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, Netherlands, University of Birmingham, Cancer Research UK Clinical Trials Unit (CRCTU), Birmingham, United Kingdom

Research Funding

Pharmaceutical/Biotech Company
Hologic

Background: Individual risk assessment of distant recurrence (DR) is particularly relevant for early-stage HR+ breast cancer patients, as they face a prolonged risk of recurrence even after adjuvant endocrine therapy. Previously, we have shown that the Breast Cancer Index (BCI) and BCIN+ risk groups are significantly prognostic for risk of overall (0-10y) and late (5-10y) distant recurrence in N0 and N1 breast cancer patients, respectively, enrolled in the Tamoxifen and Exemestane Adjuvant Multinational (TEAM) trial. Here, the prognostic performance of BCI and BCIN+ as a continuous risk score for overall and late distant recurrence was evaluated in the TEAM trial. Methods: BCI testing was performed blinded to clinical outcome with BCI/BCIN+ risk scores calculated as previously described. Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for age, tumor size, grade and treatments were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and the associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for BCI/ BCIN+ continuous risk scores. The 10y risk of overall and late DR were estimated as a function of risk scores from the Cox models using Breslow estimates.Results: Continuous risk curves for overall and late DR were obtained in patients who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy and those who remained DR-free at 5 years regardless of chemotherapy, respectively, to reflect the two key time points for breast cancer treatment decision-making. InN0 patients not treated with chemotherapy (N = 1197), BCI was significantly prognostic for overall DR with a HR of 1.39 (95% CI 1.25-1.54; p < 0.001), while BCIN+ was significantly prognostic in N1 patients who did not receive chemotherapy (N = 1319) with a HR of 4.29 (95% CI 2.93-6.28; p < 0.001). Among patients who remained DR-free at 5 years, in the N0 subset (N = 1285), BCI was significantly prognostic for late DR with a HR of 1.23 (95% CI 1.07-1.42; p < 0.001), while BCIN+ remained to be significantly prognostic in the N1 subset (N = 1762) with a HR of 2.78 (95% CI 1.75-4.43; p < 0.001). Similar results were observed in the HER2- subset for both overall and late DR. Continuous risk curves for BCI and BCIN+ for overall and late DR showed an increasing risk of DR with higher BCI/BCIN+ scores. Conclusions: Results from this largest BCI study to date further support the use of BCI to provide individualized risk estimates for both overall and late DR in women with HR+ breast cancer to aid in personalized decision-making for adjuvant therapy.

NHR (95% CI)P value
Overall DR (0-10y)All PtsN011971.39 (1.25-1.54)< 0.001
N113194.29 (2.93-6.28)< 0.001
HER2-N09781.52 (1.34-1.73)< 0.001
N111324.04 (2.66-6.13)< 0.001
Late DR (5-10y)All PtsN012851.23 (1.07-1.42)< 0.001
N117622.78 (1.75-4.43)< 0.001
HER2-N010631.31 (1.11-1.53)< 0.001
N115032.87 (1.17-4.81)< 0.001

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2023 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Rapid Oral Abstract Session

Session Title

Breast Cancer

Track

Breast Cancer

Sub Track

Adjuvant Therapy

Citation

J Clin Oncol 41, 2023 (suppl 16; abstr 509)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2023.41.16_suppl.509

Abstract #

509

Abstract Disclosures