Prediction of brain metastases progression and overall survival in patients with metastatic non-small cell lung cancer treated by immune checkpoint inhibitors using a radiomic model.

Authors

null

Clemence Henon

Gustave Roussy, Department of Medical Oncology, Université Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France

Clemence Henon , Lizza Hendriks , Alexandre Carré , Laura Mezquita , Sylvain Reuzé , Samy Ammari , Mihaela Aldea , Charlotte Robert , Cecile Le Pechoux , Clarisse Audigier-Valette , Julien Mazieres , Corentin Lefebvre , Audrey Rabeau , Boris Duchemann , Angela Botticella , David Planchard , Eric Deutsch , Benjamin Besse , Roger Sun

Organizations

Gustave Roussy, Department of Medical Oncology, Université Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France, Department of Respiratory Medicine, Maastricht University Medical Centre, GROW School for Oncology and Reproduction, Maastricht, Netherlands, Gustave Roussy, UMR 1030, ImmunoRadAI, Villejuif, France, Hospital Clinic - IDIBAPS, Barcelona, Spain, Gustave Roussy, Department of Radiology, Villejuif, France, Gustave Roussy, Department of Medical Oncology, Paris Saclay University, Villejuif, France, Gustave Roussy, Department of Radiation Oncology, Villejuif, France, Department of Medical Oncology, CHI de Toulon - Hôpital Sainte-Musse, Toulon, France, CHU de Toulouse, Pneumology Department, Paul Sabatier University, Toulouse, France, Department of Thoracic and Medical Oncology, Avicenne AP-HP, Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, Bobigny, France, Gustave Roussy, Department of Medical Oncology, Villejuif, France, Gustave Roussy, Department of Radiation Oncology, UMR 1030, ImmunoRadAI, Villejuif, France, Gustave Roussy, Villejuif, France, Gustave Roussy, Department of Radiation Oncology, Université Paris-Saclay, UMR 1030, ImmunoRadAI, Villejuif, France

Research Funding

No funding received
None.

Background: Brain metastases (BMs) incidence is high in patients with metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Immune Checkpoints Inhibitors (ICIs) are now standard of care for metastatic NSCLC in the first-line or beyond settings. However, less than half of patients will have a tumor response, and the determinants of BMs response to ICIs remain unknown. This study aims to evaluate the value of radiomics to predict control/progression of BMs at a lesion level, and outcomes at a patient level in the BM+ NSCLC population treated by ICIs. Methods: We conducted a retrospective multicenter (5 European centers) study including consecutive patients with NSCLC BMs and available baseline MRI before ICIs (evaluation cohort) or chemotherapy (control cohort) with a 2:1 ratio, between 2011 and 2021. After modified RANO (Response Assessment in Neuro-Oncology) assessment of individual BMs, we developed a radiomic model to predict BMs control/progression to ICIs at the first brain follow-up imaging. The ICIs cohort was split into two datasets used for (i) model training with 5-fold cross-validation and (ii) model testing. The Chemotherapy cohort was used to ensure the specificity of our model to ICIs-treated patients. Results: Ninety-four and 49 patients were included in the ICIs and Chemotherapy cohorts respectively, of which 56 (59.6%, N = 227 BMs) and 39 (79.6%, N = 192 BMs) patients had available brain follow-up imaging. The ICIs cohort was specifically enriched in radiomic features which were significantly associated to BMs progression. Our final model, based on extreme gradient boosting (xgboost) on BMs > 10mm from the training set (N = 39 BMs), could predict individual BMs progression to ICIs with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.77 (p-value = 0.029, 95% CI [0.56-0.98]) in the test set (N = 20 BMs). We further generated a radiomic score to stratify BM+ NSCLC ICIs-treated patients between High-Risk or Low-Risk groups according to the predicted individual BMs progression. High-risk patients were associated with worse overall survival (OS) (median OS of 6.3 months, 95% CI [3.02-10.49]) compared to Low-risk patients (median OS of 11.87 months, 95% CI [7.02-21.90], p = 0.042). The prognostic value of the radiomic score on OS was validated in a multivariate analysis in the ICIs cohort (Table). Conclusions: To our knowledge, this is the first study to explore the value of radiomics in the prediction of BMs response to immunotherapy. Prospective evaluation will confirm the generalizability of our model in clinical practice.

VariableHazard RatioLower 95% CIUpper 95% CIp-value
Radiomic score1.9971.1033.6160.022*
Lung-molGPA > 1.50.6070.2321.5920.310
Steroids1.9681.1073.4990.021*
Brain tumor burden (%)0.8720.4901.5500.640

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2023 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Publication Only

Session Title

Publication Only: Lung Cancer—Non-Small Cell Metastatic

Track

Lung Cancer

Sub Track

Metastatic Non–Small Cell Lung Cancer

Citation

J Clin Oncol 41, 2023 (suppl 16; abstr e21169)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2023.41.16_suppl.e21169

Abstract #

e21169

Abstract Disclosures