Cascade genetic testing (CGT) female first-degree relatives (FDR) of men with germline BRCA2 mutations (gBRCA2mut) and prostate cancer (PCa): A cost-effectiveness analysis.

Authors

null

Alexie A Carletti

Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, OR

Alexie A Carletti , Aaron B Caughey , Alexandra Sokolova

Organizations

Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, OR, OHSU Knight Cancer Institute, Portland, OR

Research Funding

Other
PCF YIA; SPORE, DoD

Background: gBRCA2mut areassociated with increased risk of PCa, breast cancer (BC), and ovarian cancer (OC). ~5% of men with metastatic PCa have gBRCA2mut. CGT is recommended for their relatives as there are implications for cancer prevention and early detection strategies. Little is known about CGT initiated by men with PCa. Here we evaluate the cost-effectiveness of CGT in FDR of men with PCa and gBRCA2mut. Methods: A decision-analytic model was created with TreeAge software to compare BC and OC outcomes for female FDRs who underwent CGT for gBRCA2mut versus no CGT. Our theoretical cohort contained 100,000 females, a conservative estimate of patients who could benefit from CGT. We used literature derived estimates to determine the percentage of patients that would pursue risk-reducing mastectomy, risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy, both surgeries, or surveillance after CGT. Outcomes included BC or OC diagnoses, survivorship, and cancer death. We derived all probabilities, costs, utilities, and life expectancies from the literature and discounted quality adjusted life years (QALYs) at a rate of 3%. Incremental cost-effectiveness (ICER) was calculated to determine the cost per QALY gained and set the willingness-to-pay threshold at $100,000/QALY. We assessed the robustness of the model with sensitivity analyses. Results: In our theoretical cohort, CGT of female FDRs resulted in 12,910 less BC diagnoses and 6,360 less BC deaths. CGT was associated with lower BC death rates (26.1%) compared to no CGT (35.8%). OC survival rates were higher with CGT (73.1%) compared to no CGT (36.4%). Our model resulted in lower costs and higher QALYs (a dominant strategy) among the CGT cohort with an ICER of -$7,211.40 per QALY, saving an estimated $595 million. We found that CGT in females was the dominant strategy in 100% of the samples, once uncertainty was incorporated into our model inputs via Monte Carlo simulation. The cost-effectiveness of CGT for male FDRs will be presented at the meeting. Conclusions: In this study, CGT of female FDRs of men with PCa and gBRCA2mut was the dominant strategy to improve BC and OC outcomes, including increased survivorship and reduced BC and OC development. CGT was associated with reduced costs and increased QALYs. CGT for female FDRs of patients with PCa and gBRCA2mut may be a cost-effective approach for identifying and informing individuals with potentially harmful mutations.

Outcomes in a theoretical cohort of 100,000 female FDRs of men with PCa and gBRCA2mut.

CGTNo CGTDifference
Develop BC (n)1809031000-12910
Develop OC (n)51707830-2660
Develop BC + OC (n)14502670-1220
Death from BC (n)473011090-6360
Death from OC (n)34204970-1550
Cost (US$/1000)64943648339395-594990
Effectiveness (QALY)27136902457840255850
ICERDominant-7211.4

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2023 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Publication Only

Session Title

Publication Only: Genitourinary Cancer—Prostate, Testicular, and Penile

Track

Genitourinary Cancer—Prostate, Testicular, and Penile

Sub Track

Prostate Cancer–Local-Regional Disease

Citation

J Clin Oncol 41, 2023 (suppl 16; abstr e17099)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2023.41.16_suppl.e17099

Abstract #

e17099

Abstract Disclosures

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