Risk of death among lung cancer patients before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Authors

null

Teddy Tai Loy Lee

The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong

Teddy Tai Loy Lee , Danyang Zheng , Sichao Wang , Abraham Ka Chung Wai , Feng-Ming Spring Kong

Organizations

The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Clinical Oncology Medical Center of The University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China

Research Funding

No funding received
None.

Background: The survival of lung cancer patients in Hong Kong before and during the COVID-19 pandemic is poorly understood. Methods: Patients diagnosed with lung cancer from January 1 2010 to October 31 2022 were recruited from all 43 public hospitals in Hong Kong. Patients who died on the day of cancer diagnosis were excluded. Patients between 2020-2022 (pandemic) were matched with patients diagnosed between 2010-2019 (pre-pandemic) using 1:1 propensity score matching, based on demographics and comorbidities such as age, sex, and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), to study survival before and during the pandemic. The outcomes were 1-year and 6-month all-cause mortality. In subgroup analysis, patients were categorized into 12 groups, from 2010 to 2022, based on the year of first diagnosis of lung cancer to investigate yearly changes in mortality. Patients with confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 infection were also analyzed. Results: A total of 42102 lung cancer patients (66.0% male, age 72±12 years (median±SD), CCI 7.00±2.42) were recruited from 2010 to 2021 with 1-year follow up. Only 36 patients were confirmed COVID-19 positive. The matched cohort consisted of 4958 pandemic patients (68.6% male, age 72±12 years, CCI 8.00±2.43) and 4958 pre-pandemic patients (67.7% male, age 73±12 years, CCI 7.53±2.48). 2782 (56.1%) and 3846 (77.6%) pandemic patients died within 6 months and 1 year respectively, compared to 2338 (47.2%) and 3194 (64.4%) pre-pandemic patients. In subgroup analysis by year of lung cancer diagnosis, patients diagnosed in 2021 had highest risk of 1-year mortality (85.1%). There was no significant difference in mortality between patients with and without confirmed COVID-19 positivity. The cohort of 2022 lung cancer patients, with higher COVID-19 positivity, was still undergoing follow-up and will be included in the analysis at the time of presentation. Conclusions: Lung patients diagnosed during the COVID-19 pandemic are associated with higher risk of death within the first year compared to that of pre-pandemic patients, and is likely not associated with COVID-19 positivity.

Covariate balance after propensity score matching.

CharacteristicsPre-COVID period (N=4958)COVID Era
(N=4958)
Male, N (%)3358 (67.7)3401 (68.6)
Baseline age, years, Median(SD)73.25 (11.69)72.24 (11.93)
Charlson Comorbidity Index, Median(SD)8.00 (2.48)8.00 (2.43)
Hypertension, N (%)1882 (38.0)1884 (38.0)
Atrial fibrillation, N (%)238 (4.8)239 (4.8)
Heart failure, N(%)186 (3.8)190 (3.8)
Diabetes mellitus, N (%)922 (18.6)894 (18.0)
Chronic kidney disease, N(%)118 (2.4)125 (2.5)
Ischemic stroke, N (%)175 (3.5)169 (3.4)
Peripheral vascular disease, N (%)41 (0.8)34 (0.7)
Intracranial hermorrhage, N (%)57 (1.1)53 (1.1)
Hemiplagia, N (%)20 (0.4)22 (0.4)
Rheumatic disease, N (%)28 (0.6)28 (0.6)
Peptic ulcer, N (%)57 (1.1)53 (1.1)
1-year mortality, N (%)3194 (64.4)3846 (77.6)
6-month mortality, N (%)2338 (47.2)2782 (56.1)

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2023 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Prevention, Risk Reduction, and Hereditary Cancer

Track

Prevention, Risk Reduction, and Genetics

Sub Track

Etiology/Epidemiology

Citation

J Clin Oncol 41, 2023 (suppl 16; abstr 10625)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2023.41.16_suppl.10625

Abstract #

10625

Poster Bd #

258

Abstract Disclosures

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