University of California Davis Comprehensive Cancer Center, Sacramento, CA
Mamta Parikh , Catherine Tangen , Maha H. A. Hussain , Shilpa Gupta , Yeonjung Jo , Andrea Harzstark , Channing Judith Paller , Saby George , Matthew R. Zibelman , Heather H. Cheng , Benjamin L. Maughan , Jingsong Zhang , Russell Kent Pachynski , Alan Haruo Bryce , Daniel W. Lin , David I. Quinn , Ian M Thompson Jr., Tanya B. Dorff , Primo N Lara Jr., Neeraj Agarwal
Background: Analysis of phase 3 studies of patients (pts) with mHSPC in the era of ADT, including in combination with docetaxel and/or androgen receptor axis targeted therapies have established PSA-7mo as a key prognostic marker. Our objective was to evaluate the association between PSA-3mo, PSA 7-mo and OS measured in the phase 3 S1216 trial in mHSPC comparing ADT + orteronel (treatment arm) vs ADT + bicalutamide (control arm) [NCT01809691]. Methods: Pts enrolled in the S1216 trial with available PSA-3mo & PSA-7mo were included in this analysis. PSA responses were defined as complete response (CR) if PSA ≤ 0.2 ng/mL, partial response (PR) for PSA >0.2 and ≤ 4ng/mL, and no response (NR) as PSA >4 ng/mL at month 3 or 7. Landmark OS was measured and Cox regression model applied adjusting for stratification (performance status, extent of disease, early vs late start of treatment, treatment arm). Results: 1251 pts were alive and evaluable for PSA-3mo and 1231 pts were evaluable at 7 mo, out of a total of 1279 pts. The median age was 67 (range: 43-92), 10% of patients were black, 96% had a Zubrod performance status of 0-1. Median PSA at baseline was 29 ng/ml (range: 2-6710). Of pts on treatment vs.control arm, PSA-3mo CR, PR, and NR occurred in 52% vs 35%; 31% vs 42%, and 17% vs 23%, respectively. Of pts on treatment vs control arm, PSA-7mo CR, PR, and NR occurred in 61% vs 46%, 20% vs 26%, and 19% vs 29%, respectively. CR or PR at either timepoint led to significantly better outcomes than those with NR. No interaction between treatment arm and PSA response was observed in terms of OS. Conclusions: PSA-3mo and PSA-7mo are strong prognostic markers for pts with mHSPC. More pts on ADT with orteronel achieved CR at 3 and 7 mo. In addition to its use in counseling patients in the clinic, PSA-3mo and PSA-7mo may be used as parameters for designing future trials in pts with mHSPC, utilizing the next generation of intensification or de-intensification treatment regimens. Clinical trial information: NCT01809691.
Response | Hazard Ratio | 95% CI | 2-sided p-value | 5-year OS post PSA response at 3 months | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3-month | Treatment | Control | |||
CR | 0.34 | (0.27,0.42) | <0.0001 | 72% | 73% |
PR | 0.60 | (0.49,0.73) | <0.0001 | 51% | 54% |
NR | 1.0 (ref) | -- | -- | 31% | 31% |
5-year OS post PSA response at 7 months | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7-month | Treatment | Control | |||
CR | 0.20 | (0.16,0.24) | <0.0001 | 75% | 78% |
PR | 0.51 | (0.42,0.63) | <0.0001 | 39% | 47% |
NR | 1.0 (ref) | -- | -- | 24% | 23% |
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