Elevated cancer risk among individuals with combinations of cancer-related risk factors: A large claims database analysis.

Authors

null

Ze Cong

GRAIL, LLC, a subsidiary of Illumina, Inc., currently held separate from Illumina, Inc., under the terms of the Interim Measures Order of the European Commission dated 29 October 2021, Menlo Park, CA

Ze Cong , Xiangyang Ye , Allison W. Kurian

Organizations

GRAIL, LLC, a subsidiary of Illumina, Inc., currently held separate from Illumina, Inc., under the terms of the Interim Measures Order of the European Commission dated 29 October 2021, Menlo Park, CA, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, Stanford University, Stanford, CA

Research Funding

Pharmaceutical/Biotech Company
GRAIL, LLC, a subsidiary of Illumina, Inc. currently held separate from Illumina, Inc. under the terms of the Interim Measures Order of the European Commission dated 29 October 2021

Background: Besides age, many risk factors have been associated with elevated cancer risk. Understanding cancer incidence rates among patients with single or multiple risk factors can help inform cancer prevention and detection efforts. Methods: A retrospective observational analysis was conducted on individuals aged 50-79 in 2020 using Optum’s de-identified Clinformatics Data Mart Database which includes Medicare Advantage (MA) (vast majority aged 65+) and commercially insured members (mostly below 65 and employed). Patients with no prior cancer diagnosis (continuously enrolled with no cancer claims for one year) and with cancer risk factors were identified using ICD-10-CM and CPT-4 codes, including autoimmune-related chronic inflammation (diabetes, inflammatory bowel disease, asthma, or rheumatoid arthritis) (INFLAM AUTO); non-autoimmune related chronic inflammation (fatty liver disease, obesity, or cirrhosis/chronic hepatitis B/C) (INFLAM NONAUTO); immunodeficiency (primary or secondary immunodeficiency, HIV, or status post organ transplant); and smoking. Cancer incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated by comparing one-year cancer incidence rate among the groups with risk factors versus the general population by insurance type (IRR>1 means elevated risk of cancer). Groups with evidence of any risk factor and combinations of risk factors were assessed. Statistical significance of IRRs was evaluated using logistic regression models adjusting for demographic characteristics. Results: Cancer incidence rates of 1.12% and 2.11% were observed among the approximately 1.3 and 2.4 million general population aged 50-79 in commercial and MA plans, respectively. Enrollees with any of the risk factors or combinations analyzed had statistically significantly elevated risk of cancer (IRRs>1.00, p<0.05). Commercially insured groups with highest risk included transplant (IRR=7.68, prevalence=0.02%), immunodeficient and smokers (IRR=3.66, prevalence=0.16%), cirrhosis/chronic hepatitis B/C (IRR=2.61, prevalence=0.41%), INFLAM AUTO and smokers (IRR=2.43, prevalence=3.56%), and smoker (IRR=2.33, prevalence=11.11%). Results in MA were generally consistent with the commercial plan (Table). Conclusions: Patients in both commercial and MA plans with any risk factor experienced significantly elevated cancer risk. Cancer prevention and screening strategies can be informed by risk levels among different patient subgroups to optimize resource allocation.

Prevalence and cancer iRRs by risk factor group (selected).

CommercialMA
IRRPrevalence (%)IRRPrevalence (%)
Smoker2.3311.111.9537.87
Fatty liver disease2.302.921.843.47
Cirrhosis/Hepatitis B/C2.610.412.011.66
Transplant7.680.023.240.02
INFLAM AUTO AND Smoker2.433.561.959.50
INFLAM NONAUTO AND Smoker2.313.561.876.77
Immunodeficiency AND Smoker3.660.162.190.41

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2023 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Prevention, Risk Reduction, and Hereditary Cancer

Track

Prevention, Risk Reduction, and Genetics

Sub Track

Cancer Prevention

Citation

J Clin Oncol 41, 2023 (suppl 16; abstr 10561)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2023.41.16_suppl.10561

Abstract #

10561

Poster Bd #

194

Abstract Disclosures

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