Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA
Talal El Zarif , Jonathan Thomas , Irbaz Bin Riaz , Dory Freeman , Ilana Epstein , Pier Vitale Nuzzo , Matthew Davidsohn , Heather McClure , Ayah Matar , Uttam Kalluri , Ritu Yadav , Charlene Mantia , Praful Ravi , Bradley Alexander McGregor , Guru P. Sonpavde
Background: Determining a benefit from ICIs radiographically may take months and may be confounded by pseudoprogression. The NLR & RDW are readily accessible inflammatory markers from routine peripheral blood analysis and have been associated with outcomes in malignancies. We evaluated the association of early changes in NLR and RDW within 4 weeks after initiating ICI with any regression of tumor (ART) and overall survival (OS) in mUC. Methods: This study included de-identified data from Dana-Farber Cancer Institute in pts with mUC who were treated with ICIs from 2015 to 2020. Age, gender, setting (untreated vs. post-platinum), sites of metastasis (mets), performance status (PS), platelet count, RDW, and NLR at baseline and 3-4 weeks after initiating the ICI were collected. The primary objective was to assess the association of early increase in NLR by ≥1.0 from baseline or RDW at 3-4 weeks (as a continuous variable) post-ICI therapy with ART and OS. ART was assessed via subsequent imaging at any time point while on ICI. A multivariable logistic regression model and Cox proportional-hazards model were employed to identify the association of NLR changes with ART and OS, respectively, using backward selection. Results: A total of 330 pts were evaluable. The median age was 70 years, 72.1% (n = 298) were male and 69.4% (n= 227) received post-platinum ICI (remaining were platinum naïve). 46.5% (n = 146) experienced ART and the median OS was 13 months (11.14-16.14). An increase in NLR ≥ 1 in 3-4 weeks was associated with a lower rate of ART (OR: 0.41, 95% CI 0.24-0.70; p: 0.001) and worse OS (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.84, 95% CI 1.37-2.46; p < 0.0001) on multivariable analysis (Table). Higher RDW values at 3-4 weeks were associated with worse OS (HR: 1.08, 95% CI 1.03-1.14; p: 0.0004) but were not associated with ART. Conclusions: In pts with mUC initiating ICI, an early increase in NLR ≥ 1 and higher RDW in 3-4 weeks were associated with poor outcomes. Early changes in these readily available variables may enable early modification or intensification of therapy to improve outcomes. External validation of these findings is warranted.
ART | OS | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
OR (95% CI) | P-value | HR (95% CI) | P-value | |
Age | 1.027 (1.003-1.052) | 0.0264 | - | - |
ECOG PS | - | - | 1.17 (1.08-1.27) | 0.0001 |
NLR increase ≥1 at 3-4 wks | 0.414 (0.242-0.705) | 0.0012 | 1.84 (1.37-2.46) | 0.00005 |
RDW at 3-4 wks | - | - | 1.08 (1.03-1.14) | 0.0004 |
Liver mets | - | - | 2.08 (1.50-2.89) | 0.00001 |
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Abstract Disclosures
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