University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
Kevin R Reyes , Li Zhang , Xiaolin Zhu , Tanya Jindal , Prianka Deshmukh , Ivan de Kouchkovsky , Vipul Kumar , Edward Maldonado , Daniel H Kwon , Emily Chan , Sima P. Porten , Hala Borno , Rohit Bose , Arpita Desai , Rahul Raj Aggarwal , Eric Jay Small , Lawrence Fong , Jonathan Chou , Terence W. Friedlander , Vadim S Koshkin
Background: ICIs form the backbone of treatment for mUC. However, only a minority of pts benefit and additional biomarkers of ICI response are needed. Methods: In our institution, we identified mUC pts treated with ICI monotherapy who had next generation sequencing (NGS). Somatic alterations present in ≥10% of pts (ARID1A, CCND1, CDKN2A, CDKN2B, ERBB2, FGF3, FGF4, FGF19, FGFR3, KDM6A, MDM2, MLL2, PIK3CA, RB1, TERTp, TP53, TSC1), as well as DNA-damage response (DDR) alterations and tumor mutational burden (TMB) were analyzed as biomarkers. These biomarkers were individually evaluated in separate multivariate models while accounting for clinical factors including age, BMI, ECOG PS, primary tumor location, histology, hemoglobin, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and albumin. Multivariate cox regression and logistic regression models were used to measure hazard ratios (HR) and odds ratios (OR) for overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) and observed response rate (ORR). Results: Among 152 mUC ICI-treated pts, 107 had NGS data (FoundationOne, UCSF500, Strata), including 85 with TMB data. For the 107 pts with NGS, median age was 70 yrs, majority were male (69, 64%), Caucasian (70, 65%), had pure urothelial histology (57, 53%), and had first-line ICI (55, 51%). ORR was 35%, median PFS was 3.9 mos (95% CI: 2.6-7.5 mos), and median OS was 17.4 mos (95% CI: 14.1-30.6 mos). Biomarkers associated with improved outcomes to ICI, independent of relevant clinical factors, included alterations in ARID1A and DDR, as well as high TMB (>10 Mut/Mb). Inferior outcomes were seen in pts with CDKN2B, KDM6A, FGF3, FGF4, and FGF19 alterations (Table). Conclusions: In this large retrospective multivariate analysis controlling for clinical factors in ICI-treated mUC pts, we found multiple biomarkers associated with improved or inferior outcomes. These hypothesis-generating findings can inform clinical decision making and trial design for mUC pts treated with ICIs, and should be validated in larger cohorts.
Biomarker | Pts w/ Biomarker N (%) | OS: HR (95% CI, p-value) | PFS: HR (95% CI, p-value) | ORR: OR (95% CI, p-value) |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARID1A | 26 (24%) | 0.45 (0.2-1.2, p=0.11) | 0.27 (0.1-0.6, p<0.01) | 7.69 (1.6-51.1, p=0.02) |
DDR* | 17 (16%) | 0.35 (0.1-1.0, p=0.05) | 0.39 (0.2-1.0, p=0.05) | 4.82 (0.8-40.4, p=0.11) |
CDKN2B | 34 (32%) | 1.83 (0.9-3.9, p=0.11) | 1.88 (1.0-3.5, p=0.05) | 0.27 (0.1-1.3, p=0.12) |
KDM6A | 23 (21%) | 1.49 (0.6-3.5, p=0.36) | 2.41 (1.2-4.8, p=0.01) | 0.47 (0.1-2.0, p=0.31) |
FGF19 | 13 (12%) | 7.71 (2.4-25.0, p<0.01) | 3.27 (1.1-9.7, p=0.03) | 0.86 (0.1-9.5, p=0.90) |
FGF4 | 13 (12%) | 5.32 (1.7-16.4, p<0.01) | 3.76 (1.3-10.7, p=0.01) | 0.20 (0.01-2.3, p=0.24) |
FGF3 | 12 (11%) | 5.32 (1.7-16.4, p<0.01) | 3.76 (1.3-10.7, p=0.01) | 0.20 (0.01-2.3, p=0.24) |
TMB high | 47 (55%) | 0.59 (0.3-1.4, p=0.23) | 0.43 (0.2-0.9, p=0.03) | 5.26 (1.1-30.9, p=0.04) |
*DDR alterations: ATM, BARD1, BRCA1, BRCA2, CDK12, CHEK2, and PALB2.
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