Cost-effectiveness of CD19 chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CAR-T) therapy versus autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) for high-risk diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) in first relapse.

Authors

Amar Kelkar

Amar Harry Kelkar

Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA

Amar Harry Kelkar , Edward Robert Scheffer Cliff , Caron Alyce Jacobson , Gregory A. Abel , Robert Redd , Stijntje Dijk , Eline Krijkamp , M. G. Myriam Hunink , Corey S. Cutler

Organizations

Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, Division of Population Sciences, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, Erasmus University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands

Research Funding

No funding received

Background: The recently reported ZUMA-7 and TRANSFORM trials demonstrate superior event-free survival among patients with primary refractory or early relapsed DLBCL compared to salvage chemotherapy with ASCT. However, given a cost of >$370,000, it is not known whether second-line CAR-T is cost-effective compared to ASCT. Thus, we developed a state-transition microsimulation model to simulate clinical outcomes and costs associated with therapy for DLBCL patients in first relapse, using ZUMA-7 and TRANSFORM data. Methods: The model begins at initiation of second-line therapy comparing salvage chemotherapy with ASCT or CAR-T therapy. We examined a three-year time horizon, including crossover to the alternative strategy therapy in the third line, as well as subsequent lines of therapy, using open-source Amua 0.3.0 software. Base case analysis was performed using 1000 first-order Monte Carlo simulations and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) was performed with 1000 simulations to test model uncertainty. Conditional probabilities of survival and disease progression were extracted from Kaplan-Meier curves from pivotal clinical trials using the WebPlotDigitizer tool. Costs were estimated from public sources in US Dollars ($) and effects were estimated in quality-adjusted life years (QALY) using published utility values. Results: Median overall survival was 15 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 13-19 months) with ASCT and 21 months (95% CI 17-29 months) with CAR-T. The PSA demonstrated costs and effectiveness per patient of $243,581 and 1.06 QALYs with ASCT and $470,150 and 1.22 QALYs with CAR-T with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $1,383,320/QALY. Incremental net monetary benefit of CAR-T versus ASCT, based on a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $200,000/QALY, was -$193,812. The break-even price for CAR-T and all subsequent therapies, based on a one-way sensitivity analysis, was $170,489. Conclusions: The model demonstrated improved survival and QALYs for the second-line CAR-T therapy, but was not cost-effective, as the ICER exceeded $1,000,000/QALY, which is higher than most accepted WTP thresholds. A limitation of these early data is that they only assess outcomes over three years. To estimate the full effect of these therapies, we will extrapolate the Kaplan-Meier curves for additional analyses. Clinical outcomes of second-line CAR-T are promising, but prices would need to be considerably lower to enable equitable access and affordability.

Cost-effectiveness table.

Strategy
Cost
Cost 95% CI
QALY
QALY 95% CI
ICER
Notes
ASCT Strategy
$243,581
$221,774-$265,460
1.06
0.90-1.22
---
Baseline
CAR-T Strategy
$470,150
$460,764-$480,997
1.22
1.02-1.43
$1,383,320/QALY

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2022 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Hematologic Malignancies—Lymphoma and Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia

Track

Hematologic Malignancies

Sub Track

Cell Therapy, Bispecific Antibodies, and Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation for NHL, HL, or CLL

Citation

J Clin Oncol 40, 2022 (suppl 16; abstr 7537)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2022.40.16_suppl.7537

Abstract #

7537

Poster Bd #

190

Abstract Disclosures