Real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS) and time to next line of therapy (TTNT) as intermediate endpoints for survival in metastatic breast cancer: A real-world experience.

Authors

Chris Labaki

Chris Labaki

Dana Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA

Chris Labaki , Ziad Bakouny , Thibaut Sanglier , Andrew Lachlan Schmidt , Jinjoo Shim , David A. Braun , Fanny Bouquet , Maureen Ann Joyce , Wanling Xie , Sara M. Tolaney , Toni K. Choueiri

Organizations

Dana Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, Lank Center for Genitourinary Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd., Basel, Switzerland, Liz Plummer Cancer Centre, Cairns and Hinterland Hospital and Health Service, Cairns, QLD, Australia, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, Roche, Boulogne Billancourt, France, Gilead Sci, Brooklyn, NY, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA

Research Funding

Pharmaceutical/Biotech Company

Background: Real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS) and time to next line of therapy (TTNT) are two endpoints of clinical interest in patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC). Their validation as intermediate endpoints for overall survival (OS), in a real-world setting, remains not fully established. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the nationwide US Electronic Health Record-derived de-identified Flatiron Health database. The study population included pts diagnosed with MBC from Jan 1, 2011 to Feb 30, 2021. rwPFS was defined as the time from start of first-line systemic therapy for MBC to disease progression or death. TTNT was defined as the time from start of first-line systemic therapy until start of next line of therapy. The nonparametric Kendall tau correlation between each surrogate endpoint (rwPFS and TTNT) and OS was evaluated using the Hougaard copula model in the Weibull margin distribution. Kendall’s tau (τ) with its 95%CI was calculated across the entire dataset, and within each disease subgroup defined by receptor (ER and/or PR status defined as hormone receptor [HR], and HER2) status. This work was conducted on behalf of the imCORE network and the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute. Results: Overall, 9,770 patients with MBC were included. Median age was 63 years (IQR: 54-72 years). HR+/HER2- disease represented the most frequent MBC subtype (n=6,287; 64.4%), followed by HER2+ (n=2,096; 21.5%) and triple negative (n=1,387; 14.2%) disease. Median f/u was 41.5 months (95%CI: 40.4 to 42.8). Median OS in the overall population was 32.4 months (95%CI: 31.2 to 33.3). Median rwPFS was 11.5 months (95%CI: 11.1 to 11.9), and median TTNT was 11.1 months (95%CI: 10.7 to 11.5). Across the entire population, the correlation of rwPFS with OS was 0.54 (95%CI: 0.53-0.56), while the correlation of TTNT with OS was 0.47 (95%CI: 0.46-0.48) (Table). Conclusions: rwPFS and TTNT may represent meaningful intermediate endpoints for OS in patients with MBC overall, and within the different disease subgroups.

Median OS, rwPFS and TTNT and correlation of each pair of evaluated endpoints in all subgroups.

Overall Population

(n=9,770)
HR+/HER2- MBC (n=6,287)
HER2+ MBC (n=2,096)
Triple-negative MBC (n=1,387)
Median OS, months (95%CI)
32.4 (31.2-33.3)
35.4 (34.2-36.6)
41.7 (38.9-44.0)
13.5 (12.6-14.6)
Median rwPFS, months (95%CI)
11.5 (11.1-11.9)
13.3 (12.7-14.0)
13.4 (12.6-14.4)
5.44 (5.11-5.83)
Median TTNT, months (95%CI)
11.1 (10.7-11.5)
11.8 (11.3-12.4)
14.4 (13.6-15.4)
6.6 (6.2-7.0)
rwPFS-OS Correlation: τ (95%CI)
0.54 (0.53-0.56)
0.51 (0.49-0.52)
0.54 (0.52-0.56)
0.60 (0.57-0.62)
TTNT-OS Correlation: τ (95%CI)
0.47 (0.46-0.48)
0.43 (0.41-0.44)
0.45 (0.43-0.49)
0.57 (0.54-0.59)
rwPFS-TTNT Correlation: τ (95%CI)
0.55 (0.54-0.56)
0.51 (0.48-0.52)
0.52 (0.49-0.54)
0.66 (0.64-0.69)

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2022 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Discussion Session

Session Title

Health Services Research and Quality Improvement

Track

Quality Care/Health Services Research

Sub Track

Real-World Data/Outcomes

Citation

J Clin Oncol 40, 2022 (suppl 16; abstr 6520)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2022.40.16_suppl.6520

Abstract #

6520

Poster Bd #

303

Abstract Disclosures

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