Defining resistance mechanisms to CDK4/6 inhibition in hormone receptor-positive HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer (MBC) through a machine learning approach applied to circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA).

Authors

null

Lorenzo Gerratana

Department of Medical Oncology, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO), IRCCS, Aviano, Italy

Lorenzo Gerratana , Carolina Reduzzi , Andrew A. Davis , Marko Velimirovic , Katherine Clifton , Whitney L Hensing , Ami N. Shah , Charles Sichao Dai , Paolo D’Amico , Jeannine Donahue , Qiang Zhang , Alexandro Membrino , Firas Hazem Wehbe , Arielle Janine Medford , William John Gradishar , Amir Behdad , Cynthia X. Ma , Seth Andrew Wander , Fabio Puglisi , Massimo Cristofanilli

Organizations

Department of Medical Oncology, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO), IRCCS, Aviano, Italy, Northwestern University - Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, Siteman Cancer Center, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, Massachusetts General Hospital Cancer Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, MO, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, Department of Medicine, Division of Hematology/Oncology, CTC Core Facility, Lurie Cancer Center, Northwestern University,, Chicago, IL, Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chicago, IL, Northwestern University, Department of Medicine, Division of Hematology/Oncology, CTC Core Facility, Lurie Cancer Center, Chicago, IL, Deparment of Medicine (DAME) University of Udine, Udine, Italy, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center of Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, Department of Pathology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, Massachusetts General Hospital Cancer Center, Boston, MA, Unit of Medical Oncology and Cancer Prevention, Department of Medical Oncology, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO), IRCCS, Aviano, Italy, Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center of Northwestern University, Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL

Research Funding

Other Foundation

Background: Although cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 inhibitors (CDK4/6i) are a primary treatment for hormone receptor-positive/HER2 negative MBC, data regarding resistance mechanisms are still an unmet need. The aim of the study was to highlight new resistance pathways using machine learning (ML) to detect multiparametric patterns in complex datasets. Methods: The study retrospectively analyzed a cohort of 610 hormone receptor positive HER2 negative MBC patients (pts) at Northwestern University, Massachusetts General Hospital and Washington University in St. Louis between 2015-2020 with baseline ctDNA testing by Guardant360. Pathways were defined based on previous work (Sanchez-Vega F et al, Cell. 2018) (i.e., RTK, RAS, RAF, MEK, NRF2, ER, WNT, MYC, P53, cell cycle, notch, PI3K). Only pathogenic variants according to OncoKB were included in the models. Associations among single nucleotide (SNVs) and copy number (CNVs) variations, pathway classification and previous exposure to CDK4/6i were explored through logistic regression and Gradient boosted machines (GBMs) ML algorithm. Results: at baseline, 322 pts (52.8%) were previously treated with CDK4/6i. The most detected pathway alterations were SNVs in PI3K (37.1%), P53 (31.8%), ER (29.2%) and RTK (22.3%). After stepwise logistic regression, RB1, NF1 and ESR1 SNVs were associated with previous exposure to CDK4/6i (respectively OR: 3.55 P = 0.017; OR: 3.06 P = 0.026 and OR: 1.82 P < 0.001), while SNVs in the ER pathway were associated with CDK4/6i (1.56 P < 0.001). Two GBMs models were designed based on gene variants (training AUC: 0.695, cross validation AUC: 0.631) and oncogenic pathways (training AUC: 0.713, cross validation AUC: 0.619). The highest relative importance (RI) was observed for ESR1 SNVs (RI: 35.35), TP53 SNVs (RI: 11.33), NF1 SNVs (RI: 3.45), SMAD4 SNVs (RI: 3.39) and RB1 SNVs (RI: 3.33). Alterations at a pathway level with the highest RI were ER SNVs (RI: 33.50), P53 SNVs (RI: 14.98), PI3K SNVs (RI: 14.40), RTK SNVs (RI: 10.55), RTK CNVs (RI: 10.26), cell cycle CNVs (RI: 6.99), cell cycle SNVs (RI: 6.77) and RAS SNVs (RI: 6.54). Of the previously highlighted pathway alterations, a significant impact on PFS after ctDNA collection was observed among de novo pts treated with CDK4/6i (165 pts) for ER SNVs (P < 0.0001), RTK SNVs (P = 0.0011), RTK CNVs (P = 0.0006), Cell cycle CNVs (P = 0.0010) and Cell cycle SNVs (P = 0.0143). No impact was observed on PFS for pts who had not received a CDK4/6i-based regimen. Conclusions: The combination of ctDNA-based datasets and machine learning algorithms defined novel resistance pathways for patients treated with CDK4/6i. Although preliminary, these results suggest that alterations of the ER, RTK and Cell cycle pathways might be crucial to optimize treatment strategy and drug development.

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2022 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Developmental Therapeutics—Molecularly Targeted Agents and Tumor Biology

Track

Developmental Therapeutics—Molecularly Targeted Agents and Tumor Biology

Sub Track

Circulating Biomarkers

Citation

J Clin Oncol 40, 2022 (suppl 16; abstr 3055)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2022.40.16_suppl.3055

Abstract #

3055

Poster Bd #

47

Abstract Disclosures