Lung cancer risk in persons enrolled in low-dose CT screening (LDCT) versus incidental lung nodule programs (ILNP).

Authors

null

Wei Liao

Baptist Cancer Center, Multidisciplinary Thoracic Oncology Department, Memphis, TN

Wei Liao , Nicholas Faris , Carrie Fehnel , Jordan Goss , Alicia Pacheco , Paul F Pinsky , Matthew Smeltzer , Raymond U. Osarogiagbon

Organizations

Baptist Cancer Center, Multidisciplinary Thoracic Oncology Department, Memphis, TN, National Cancer Institute at the National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, University of Memphis, School of Public Health, Memphis, TN, Multidisciplinary Thoracic Oncology Department, Baptist Cancer Center, Memphis, TN

Research Funding

No funding received

Background: LDCT screening saves lives, but <10% of eligible persons participate; eligibility criteria are imperfect; geographic, racial and socio-economic disparities have emerged. ILNP may expand access to early detection. We compared rates of lung cancer diagnosis in LDCT and ILNP population subsets. Methods: Prospective observational cohort study of enrollees in LDCT and ILNP in a community healthcare system in AR, MS and TN. We compared LDCT vs 4 ILNP cohorts (C) based on USPSTF 2021 LDCT eligibility criteria: <50 years (C1, too young); >80 years (C2, too old); 50 – 80 years (C3, ineligible smoking history); 50 – 80 years (C4, eligible). For certain analyses, we stratified the LDCT cohort by baseline (T0) Lung-RADS score (0-2 v 3-4). We used a Cox model to calculate crude and adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) for lung cancer diagnosis within 24 months of enrollment. Results: From 2015-2021, 7050 persons were in LDCT- 6073 (86%) Lung-RADS 0-2 (no/benign lesions), 977 (14%) Lung-RADS 3 or 4 (possibly malignant lesion) on T0 scan; 17,579 were in ILNP, 16%, 10%, 57% and 16% respectively in C1-4. Demographics and tobacco use history of the ILNP cohorts differed strikingly; C4 was very similar to LDCT (Table). Black persons were significantly more in C1 (too young) and C3 (insufficient tobacco use). Diagnosis of lung cancer at 36 months ranged from 1% in C1 to 15% in C4, compared to 3% in LDCT; aHR for lung cancer diagnosis within 2 years ranged from 0.23 to 5.12 (all LDCT ref), but ranged from 0.04 to 1.02 with reference to LDCT Lung-RADS 3-4. Most patients in LDCT and ILNP C2-4 had early stage. There were proportionately more Black lung cancer patients in C1-4, and 3 times more Black patients in C3 and 4 than in LDCT. Conclusions: ILNP provides early-detection access to a larger, more diverse population than LDCT, potentially alleviating race and socio-economics-based outcomes disparities.

LDCT*LNP*
N = 7050C1C2C3C4
N = 2888N = 1824N = 10093N = 2774
Demographics





Age: Median yrs (Q1-Q3)
65(60 - 70)
44(40 - 47)
85(82 - 88)
66(58 - 72)
66(60 - 71)
Female
50
59
58
55
50
Black race
19
38
19
29
19
Uninsured118394
Smoking history





Former
32
13
41
29
29
Never
0
46
45
45
0
≥20 Pack years
87
19
34
14
100
Missing
10
57
48
62
0
Quit Duration <15 years
88
42
12
16
100
Missing
2
45
32
38
0
Largest lesion, median mm (Q1 - Q3)
4(2 - 6)
7(5 - 10)
8(5 - 15)
7(5 - 11)
9(5 - 15)
Cumulative # of Lung Cancer Patients (n, %)
12 months
149(2)
19(1)
96(5)
314(3)
371(13)
24
183(3)
19(1)
102(6)
345(3)
408(15)
36
205(3)
20(1)
102(6)
364(4)
426(15)
Black race
15
40
18
30
22
Histology





Adeno
45
55
48
52
47
Squamous
31
10
29
18
29
Small
16
10
5
12
12
Clinical Stage





Stage I/II
60
30
52
57
56
Stage III
18
20
18
21
22
Stage IV
19
50
26
22
20
aHR (95% CI)





Ref all LDCT
-
0.23
(0.14, 0.38)
1.93
(1.50, 2.48)
1.21
(1.01, 1.46)
5.12
(4.34, 6.05)
Ref Lung-RADS 3-4
-
0.04
(0.03, 0.07)
0.39
(0.30, 0.51)
0.24
(0.19, 0.29)
1.02
(0.85, 1.24)

*Numbers are column % unless otherwise stated.

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2022 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Lung Cancer—Non-Small Cell Local-Regional/Small Cell/Other Thoracic Cancers

Track

Lung Cancer

Sub Track

Local-Regional Non–Small Cell Lung Cancer

Citation

J Clin Oncol 40, 2022 (suppl 16; abstr 8553)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2022.40.16_suppl.8553

Abstract #

8553

Poster Bd #

180

Abstract Disclosures

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