Atrium Health Wake Forest Baptist Health, Winston Salem, NC
Background: In United States, breast cancer accounts for over 260,000 cases each year and is responsible for over 40,000 deaths. Survival primarily depends on the stage at time of diagnosis. 5-year survival among early breast cancer is more than 50%. It is known that patients with cancer undergoing treatment have a significant risk of developing a second primary malignancy (SPM); we aimed to focus our study at the incidence of various SPM among patients surviving stage I and II breast cancer, which can help in their targeted surveillance. Methods: We utilized Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database of the National Cancer Institute to select adult patients (18 and above) diagnosed with stage I and II breast cancer as their first malignancy between January 2000 and December 2015. This is one of the largest cancer registries worldwide. SPM is metachronous cancer which develops six months after an index localized breast cancer diagnosis based on Warren and Gates criteria. Multiple primary standardized incidence ratios (MP-SIR) and absolute excess risk (AER) for an occurrence of SPM were obtained utilizing SEER. SIR is observed to expected incidence ratio (O/E) of SPM and AER, it is an actual number of excess SPMs in patients with early breast cancer per 10,000 person-years at risk. Statistical significance was defined as a p-value ≤ 0.05. Results: We localized 513,408 patients with a diagnosis of stage I and II breast cancer from 2000 - 2015. Patients were followed for a median duration of 8.92 years (range 0.5 to 15.92). Of these patients, 81.5% were white. About 8.6% (43938) of patients developed 47708 primary malignancies. These malignancies were significantly higher than the general population with O/E ratio of 1.15 and AER of 17.12. The median age of diagnosis of SPM was 69.8 years (range 22.8 – 105.08 years). The average latency to develop SPM was 5.28 years (range 0.5 – 15.92 years). Among solid tumors, a statistically significant increased risk was observed with salivary gland, tongue, gastric, colon, lung cancer, and genitourinary cancers. Among hematological malignancies, statistically significant risk was seen for ALL, AML and CML. The risk of hepatobiliary, CNS cancers and lymphoma were significantly lower among our cohort included in current study. The SPM was found significantly increased after the latency of 24 months, and the risk of SPM was greater across all age groups. Conclusions: Due to robust breast cancer screening strategies, a significantly higher proportion of the patients are diagnosed early in the course of the disease which tends to be curative and this group of patients has better survival rates. Our study recognizes that the risk of certain SPM is higher in stage I and II breast cancer survivals compared to general population; and they would benefit from guidelines that can identify cancer with increased risk in these patients population.
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