Predicting early mortality and overall survival (OS) in acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL) based on Charlson comorbidity index (CCI).

Authors

Prajwal Dhakal

Prajwal Dhakal

University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA

Prajwal Dhakal , Elizabeth Lyden , Avantika Pyakuryal , Vijaya Raj Bhatt

Organizations

University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, University of Nebraska College of Medicine, Omaha, NE, Nobel College, Pokhara University, Kathmandu, Nepal, Fred and Pamela Buffett Cancer Center, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE

Research Funding

No funding received

Background: CCI is an established tool used to measure the comorbidity burden in patients, with higher CCI signifying a greater comorbidity burden. We performed a large database analysis to evaluate CCI as a predictor of one-month mortality and OS in patients < 60 years with APL. Methods: Using the National Cancer Database, we identified a total of 4969 patients < 60 years diagnosed with APL between 2004 and 2015. We divided patients into 3 groups with CCI of 0, 1, and ≥2. Multiple regression analysis was used to evaluate the effects of CCI on one-month mortality. Cox regression model determined the impact of CCI on OS. Results: Seventy-eight percent of patients had CCI of 0; 16% had CCI 1, and 6% had CCI ≥2. Median age was 42 years (range 0-59), and patients 41-59 years comprised 53% of the total cohort. Fifty-one percent were female, 32% were treated at academic centers, and 67% had private insurance. One-month mortality was 5%, 14%, and 25% for patients with CCI 0, 1 and ≥2, respectively. After adjusting for other co-variates, one-month mortality was worse for patients with CCI 1 (Odds ratio 2.6, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.0-3.4, p < 0.001) and CCI ≥2 (Odds ratio 5.3, 95% CI 3.9-7.4, p < 0.001) compared to patients with CCI 0. Median 5-year OS was 85%, 71%, and 60% for patients with CCI 0, 1, and ≥2, respectively. After adjusting for other co-variates, OS was worse for patients with CCI 1 (Hazard ratio [HR] 1.8, 95% CI 1.5-2.1, p < 0.001), and CCI ≥2 (HR 2.7, 95% CI 2.2-3.3, p < 0.001) compared to patients with CCI 0. Patients 41-59 years had worse OS than 0-18 years (HR 2.4, 95% CI 1.3-4.5, p = 0.003). Private insurance was associated with better OS than Medicare (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.7-2.6, p < 0.001) and Medicaid/other government insurance (HR 1.3, 95% CI 1.1-1.6, p < 0.001). Conclusions: This is one of the first and the largest database analyses examining the prognostic association of comorbidity burden in younger patients with APL. CCI independently predicted both one-month mortality and OS. Compared to CCI of 0, one-month mortality increased by 2.5-fold with CCI 1 and more than five-fold with CCI ≥2. The higher chances of one-month mortality in patients with greater comorbidity burden may reflect the risks associated with initial APL diagnosis and treatment such as coagulopathy, infection, and differentiation syndrome. One-month mortality was the key driver for OS. OS was also worse among patients with higher CCI. Our results indicate CCI as an important predictor of one-month mortality and OS in APL. CCI should be taken into consideration while interpreting clinical trial results.

Disclaimer

This material on this page is ©2024 American Society of Clinical Oncology, all rights reserved. Licensing available upon request. For more information, please contact licensing@asco.org

Abstract Details

Meeting

2022 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Publication Only

Session Title

Hematologic Malignancies—Leukemia, Myelodysplastic Syndromes, and Allotransplant

Track

Hematologic Malignancies

Sub Track

Acute Leukemia

Citation

J Clin Oncol 40, 2022 (suppl 16; abstr e19017)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2022.40.16_suppl.e19017

Abstract #

e19017

Abstract Disclosures

Similar Abstracts

Abstract

2023 ASCO Quality Care Symposium

Neighborhood deprivation and race as predictors for cancer-related mortality in breast cancer.

First Author: Arya Mariam Roy

First Author: Prajwal Dhakal

First Author: Benjamin D. Mercier

First Author: Franklin Liu