Building a model to predict the risk of multiple severe neurotoxicities in cancer survivors after cisplatin treatment.

Authors

null

Swetha Nakshatri

University of Chicago, Chicago, IL

Swetha Nakshatri , Megan Shuey , Mohammad Shahbazi , Matthew Trendowski , Paul C. Dinh Jr., Darren R. Feldman , Robert James Hamilton , David J. Vaughn , Chunkit Fung , Christian K. Kollmannsberger , Lawrence Einhorn , Robert D. Frisina , Lois B. Travis , Mary Eileen Dolan , Nancy Cox

Organizations

University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, Wayne State University, Detroit, MI, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, J.P. Wilmot Cancer Institute, University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, NY, Department of Medicine, British Columbia Cancer Agency, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada, Indiana University Melvin and Bren Simon Cancer Center, Indianapolis, IN, Departments of Medical Engineering and Communication Sciences and Disorders, Global Center for Hearing and Speech Research, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN

Research Funding

U.S. National Institutes of Health

Background: Cisplatin treatment is used for many cancers, including testicular, ovarian, and head and neck malignancies. Cancer survivors with multiple cisplatin-related toxicities can have poor health-related quality of life (HRQOL). Identification of clinical and genetic factors that predict the risk of these neurotoxicities is critical. Methods: Testicular cancer survivors (TCS) enrolled in the Platinum Study completed surveys, underwent physical examination, extensive audiometric testing, and phlebotomy for genotyping and serum platinum analysis. Cases included TCS with two or more severe toxicities (hearing loss [HL], tinnitus, and peripheral sensory neuropathy [PSN]), defined as follows: hearing threshold > 40dB based on geometric mean of 4-12kHz, responding yes to “Do you have ringing or buzzing in the ears?” and/or EORTC-CIPN20 scores in the severe range for items related to sensory neuropathy. Controls were restricted to TCS without any toxicities. TCS with a single toxicity were excluded from analyses. Penalized logistic regression lasso method was used to create the model to predict the binary outcome. Creatinine clearance and residual serum platinum levels were calculated. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) for traits commonly associated with pharmacokinetics and HL, tinnitus, and PSN were calculated for TCS in the training (n = 284) and validation (n = 157) data sets using PRS publicly available in The Polygenic Score Catalog using PRSice 2.3.3. Models were trained and tested in R 4.1.2. Results: A model to assess the risk of developing multiple severe neurotoxicities that could be used without blood work and additional analysis was developed. Clinical predictors incorporated into the model were age at testicular cancer diagnosis, age at phlebotomy, weight and height. PRS incorporated were age-related sensorineural hearing loss (PGS000762), body fat percentage (PGS002133), creatinine in urine (PGS001944), and peripheral nervous system disease (PGS002039). The accuracy of this model was 77.71%, which was significantly greater than the no information rate (NIR) of 65.61% (p = .00067). The positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV) were 72.09% and 79.82%, respectively. The AUC-ROC was 0.804. Adding residual platinum levels and creatinine clearance increased the accuracy of the model to 78.34%, which was significantly greater than the NIR (p = .00035). The PPV was 75.00% and the NPV was 79.49%. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) was 0.832. Conclusions: TCS are often faced with multiple severe neurotoxicities such as HL, tinnitus, and PSN, which impact HRQOL for many decades. If confirmed, a penalized regression model using clinical and genetic characteristics can predict the risk of developing these phenotypes to guide clinicians in treatment and post-treatment management plans.

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2022 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Publication Only

Session Title

Symptoms and Survivorship

Track

Symptom Science and Palliative Care

Sub Track

Late and Long-Term Adverse Effects

Citation

J Clin Oncol 40, 2022 (suppl 16; abstr e24066)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2022.40.16_suppl.e24066

Abstract #

e24066

Abstract Disclosures

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