Smoldering multiple myeloma progression to multiple myeloma in a community-based population.

Authors

null

Raleigh Ayoolu Fatoki

Kaiser Permanente, Oakland, CA

Raleigh Ayoolu Fatoki , Diane M. Carpenter , Nirmala D. Ramalingam , Adnan Ahmed Khan , Bijay P. Nair , Ryan Lloyd Stevenson , Michael M. Green , Joan C. Lo , David M. Baer

Organizations

Kaiser Permanente, Oakland, CA, Kaiser Permanente, Roseville, CA, Kaiser Permanente, Davis, CA, Kaiser Permanente Northern California Division of Research, Oakland, CA

Research Funding

Other

Background: Few studies have characterized patients with smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM) in ethnically diverse settings and data regarding progression to multiple myeloma (MM) in real-world clinical populations is limited. Using data from a large healthcare system, we examined a contemporary cohort of adults with confirmed SMM and their progression to MM. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of SMM cases from 2010-2017 in Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC). We used the KPNC SEER-based Cancer Registry to identify potential SMM cases by ascertaining MM cases with either: 1) “asymptomatic, evolving, or smoldering myeloma” status in the Cancer Registry or 2) mention of “smoldering” in clinical records. Chart review was conducted for potential SMM cases and confirmed SMM status was assigned using the 2014 IMWG criteria. SMM cases were followed for progression to MM and myeloma-directed therapy, excluding those with KPNC membership <1 year after diagnosis. Time to MM progression (or treatment) was examined. SMM cases were classified during follow-up as: a) SMM, no progression to MM (and no receipt of myeloma-directed therapy); b) SMM, progression to MM (and receipt of myeloma-directed therapy); and c) SMM, receipt of myeloma-directed therapy without frank progression to MM (follow-up was censored at treatment). Results: During 2010-2017, we identified 152 adults with confirmed SMM. The median age at diagnosis was 71 years (IQR, 62-78), 56% were male, and 55% were non-Hispanic White, 17% Black, 9% Hispanic, and 18% Asian. During follow-up, 28% of patients progressed to MM, with a median time to progression of 1.2 years (IQR 0.8-2.0). Over half (58%) did not progress during a median follow-up time of 3.4 years, and an additional 14% received treatment before a MM-defining event. Progression data by demographic group is shown in Table. Conclusions: This is one of the first studies to examine SMM progression in an ethnically diverse cohort using the 2014 IMWG criteria. Although follow-up time was limited, we found that over half of the identified SMM cases did not progress to MM. However, patients who did progress to MM generally required treatment within 2 years of SMM diagnosis. These findings support efforts to identify high-risk patients with SMM who may benefit from early initiation of therapy.

Adults with SMM by progression status using IMWG 2014 criteria.


All SMM

N = 152
SMM – No MM progression

N = 88
SMM – with MM progression

N = 42
SMM – treatment, no MM progression

N = 22
Sex: Female

Male
67

85
39 (58%)

49 (58%)
20 (30%)

22 (26%)
8 (12%)

14 (16%)
Age: <50

50-69

≥70
7

65

80
6 (88%)

34 (52%)

48 (60%)
1 (14%)

18 (28%)

23 (29%)
0

13 (20%)

9 (11%)
Race/Ethnicity: White

Black

Hispanic

Asian
84

26

14

28
44 (52%)

18 (69%)

9 (64%)

17 (61%)
26 (31%)

6 (23%)

4 (29%)

6 (21%)
14 (17%)

2 (8%)

1 (7%)

5 (18%)
Years to progression or censor date, median (IQR)
2.2

(0.8-3.8)
3.4

(2.2-5.3)
1.2

(0.8-2.0)
0.1

(0.1-0.2)

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2022 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Publication Only

Session Title

Hematologic Malignancies—Plasma Cell Dyscrasia

Track

Hematologic Malignancies

Sub Track

Multiple Myeloma

Citation

J Clin Oncol 40, 2022 (suppl 16; abstr e20015)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2022.40.16_suppl.e20015

Abstract #

e20015

Abstract Disclosures

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