A new prognostic model in patients with recurrent or metastatic head and neck cancer treated with chemotherapy: An analysis of ECOG-ACRIN E1305.

Authors

null

Athanassios Argiris

Department of Medical Oncology, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, PA

Athanassios Argiris , Yael Flamand , Panayiotis Savvides , Jennifer Maria Johnson , Shuli Li , Arlene A. Forastiere , Barbara Burtness

Organizations

Department of Medical Oncology, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, PA, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, Mayo Clinic, Phoenix, AZ, Dana Farber Cancer Institute – ECOG-ACRIN Biostatistics Center, Boston, MA, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, Yale School of Medicine and Yale Cancer Center, New Haven, CT

Research Funding

U.S. National Institutes of Health

Background: We examined a large patient dataset based on E1305, a completed phase III randomized trial of platinum-based chemotherapy with or without bevacizumab (Argiris et al. JCO 2019), to evaluate prognostic factors in the first-line treatment of patients with recurrent or metastatic squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (RM SCCHN) and expand on our previous observations in cooperative group trials (Argiris et al. Cancer 2004). Methods: All 403 patients enrolled in E1305 were analyzed. Overall survival (OS) was the outcome of interest. Clinical and tumor characteristics were examined using Cox proportional hazards models. Variables which were significant in the univariate setting at a level of ≤ 0.10 were included in a multivariable model, and backwards selection was performed (threshold of p ≤ 0.05). The final multivariable model was then applied to the two treatment arms, separately. Variables for which the hazards ratio (HR) within an arm was more than 10% different than that for the whole cohort, were removed from the final cohort model. Results: The median OS in the whole study cohort was 11.8 months. A prognostic score model for OS was built, using the 4 independent prognostic factors identified in the multivariable model: ECOG performance status (1 vs 0), prior radiation, primary region (non-oropharynx vs oropharynx), and metastatic disease bone or liver (vs other sites/no metastases). Prognostic score was dichotomized (0-2 and > 2). Patients with 0-2 risk factors (n = 249) had a median OS of 15.2 months (90% CI: 13.8, 18.1), while patients with > 2 risk factors (n = 154) had a median OS of 7.6 months (90% CI: 6.5, 9.3); HR of 2.14 (95% CI: 1.73, 2.66), p < 0.0001. Compared to our previous 5-factor model from analysis of older trials in a similar setting, the variable “bone/liver metastasis” is new, but “tumor cell differentiation” and “weight loss” were not significant and not included in the new model for OS. Conclusions: The new proposed model includes 4 prognostic factors for OS (performance status, primary site, prior radiation, presence of bone/liver metastasis) in the first-line treatment of RM SCCHN.

Disclaimer

This material on this page is ©2024 American Society of Clinical Oncology, all rights reserved. Licensing available upon request. For more information, please contact licensing@asco.org

Abstract Details

Meeting

2022 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Head and Neck Cancer

Track

Head and Neck Cancer

Sub Track

Advanced/Metastatic Disease

Citation

J Clin Oncol 40, 2022 (suppl 16; abstr 6026)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2022.40.16_suppl.6026

Abstract #

6026

Poster Bd #

18

Abstract Disclosures