Prostate cancer risk in African American men evaluated via digital histopathology multi-modal deep learning models developed on NRG Oncology phase III clinical trials.

Authors

Mack Roach, III

Mack Roach III

University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA

Mack Roach III, Jingbin Zhang , Andre Esteva , Osama Mohamad , Douwe Van der Wal , Jeffry Simko , Sandy DeVries , Huei-Chung Huang , Edward M. Schaeffer , Todd Matthew Morgan , Jedidiah Mercer Monson , Farah Naz , James Wallace , Michelle J. Ferguson , Jean-Paul Bahary , Howard M. Sandler , Daniel Eidelberg Spratt , Stephanie L. Pugh , Phuoc T. Tran , Felix Y Feng

Organizations

University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, Artera, Mountain View, CA, Artera, Menlo Park, CA, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, Department of Pathology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, UCSF and NRG Oncology, San Francisco, CA, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, California Cancer Associates for Research and Excellence, Fresno, CA, Horizon Health Network–Saint John Regional Hospital, Saint John, NB, Canada, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, University of Montreal CHUM Research Center, Montreal, QC, Canada, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, NRG Oncology Statistics and Data Management Center, Philadelphia, PA, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, Department of Urology, University of California, San Francisco, CA

Research Funding

U.S. National Institutes of Health
U.S. National Institutes of Health, Artera, Inc.

Background: Artificial intelligence (AI) tools can display racial bias as a result of existing systemic health inequities and biased datasets. We have previously developed multi-modal AI (MMAI) prognostic models based on digital pathology images from five phase III randomized radiotherapy prostate cancer trials that outperform NCCN risk groups for prediction of distant metastasis (DM), biochemical failure (BF), prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM) and all-cause mortality (OS). In this study, we assessed the algorithmic fairness of the locked MMAI models between African American (AA) and non-AA populations in the five randomized trials. Methods: Patients enrolled in NRG/RTOG 9202, 9408, 9413, 9910, and 0126 with digitized biopsy histopathology slides were included in this study. The locked MMAI models were applied, and subgroup analyses were conducted by comparing distributions of clinical variables and MMAI scores (medians for continuous variables and proportions for categorical variables reported), and evaluating MMAI models’ prognostic ability among AA and non-AA men. The performance of the models were compared using DM as the primary endpoint and secondary endpoints of BF, PCSM, OS (death without an event as a competing risk) with Fine-Gray or Cox Proportional Hazards models. Either Kaplan Meier or cumulative incidence estimates were computed and compared using log-rank or Gray’s test. Results: This study included 5,624 men: 932 (17%) AA, 4503 (80%) white, and 189 (3%) other races. AA had younger median age (69 vs 71 year [yr]), higher median baseline PSA (12 vs 10 ng/mL), more T1-T2a (62% vs 57%), more Gleason < 7 (42% vs 36%) and 8-10 (15% vs 12%), and more NCCN low and high risk (12% vs 10% and 41% vs 33%). AA and non-AA had estimated 5-yr BF rates 27% and 27%, 5-yr DM rates 5% and 5%, 10-yr PCSM 5% and 7%, and 10-yr OS 58% and 60%, respectively. The median (interquartile range) score of the model optimizing for 5-yr DM (5-yr DM MMAI) was 0.044 (0.037–0.059) in AA and 0.043 (0.036–0.057) in non-AA. Similarly, all other MMAI models had differences in the medians between AA and non-AA ranging from 0.001 to 0.02. For all endpoints, the 5-yr DM MMAI model showed strong prognostic signal (hazard ratio [HR] per one standard deviation increase: 1.6 for DM, 1.4 for BF, 1.6 for PCSM and 1.3 for OS, all p-values < 0.001) and had comparable trends within AA vs. non-AA in the entire cohort (e.g., HR for DM 1.4 vs 1.6). Similar results were observed for the MMAI model optimizing for 10-yr PCSM. Conclusions: To our knowledge, this represents the first comparative analyses of a digital pathology AI prognostic model in AA vs. non-AA prostate cancer patients. The prognostic performance of the AI models was found to be comparable between subgroups. Our data supports the use of these models across racial groups, though further validation in AA cohorts is ongoing.

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2022 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Clinical Science Symposium

Session Title

Is There a Ghost in the Machine? Putting Artificial Intelligence to Work

Track

Special Sessions

Sub Track

Prostate Cancer–Local-Regional Disease

Citation

J Clin Oncol 40, 2022 (suppl 16; abstr 108)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2022.40.16_suppl.108

Abstract #

108

Abstract Disclosures