BUMC, Tucson, AZ
Qurat Ul Ain Riaz Sipra , Syed Arsalan Ahmed Naqvi , Mahnoor Islam , Noureen Asghar , Rabbia Siddiqi , Waleed Ikram , Parminder Singh , Wenxin Xu , Thai Huu Ho , Alan Haruo Bryce , Irbaz Bin Riaz
Background: Pembrolizumab has been established as an effective treatment option in adjuvant renal cell carcinoma after the publication of KEYNOTE-564. However, the magnitude of benefit based on different risk categories is not well defined. Methods: We included full-text publications of phase II/III randomized controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating immune checkpoint inhibitors or tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) in adjuvant renal cell carcinoma after a systematic search. The outcomes of interest included disease free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), all grade or grade ≥3 treatment related, and all cause adverse events. Mixed treatment comparisons were computed through a fixed-effect multivariate meta-regression within the frequent framework. Relative treatment rankings were assessed using P-scores. We used stratified baseline risks of disease progression from observational data and at 5, 10, 15 years from the Leibovich risk stratification system (based on risk scores ranging from 0 to ≥15). Corresponding intervention risks (CIRs) were then approximated using relative effect estimates (from NMA) and baseline risks. The difference between CIRs and baseline risks were calculated to present absolute risk differences in each baseline category. Results: This NMA included six RCTs with a total of 7525 participants and five unique treatment options. Mixed treatment comparisons showed significant DFS and OS benefit with pembrolizumab (rank 1) when compared against sunitinib (DFS HR 0.74 [0.55-0.99]; OS HR 0.51 [0.27-0.94]). However, there were no significant differences with pembrolizumab compared to pazopanib (DFS HR 0.81 [0.60- 1.09]; OS HR 0.54[0.29-1.01]) and axitinib (DFS HR 0.78 [0.54-1.14]; OS HR 0.52 [0.24-1.16]). The safety profiles were comparable. Absolute benefit of TKIs in adjuvant setting was minimal whereas this benefit increased with higher T and N patients in patients treated with pembrolizumab (Table). Similarly, the treatment benefit increased with higher Leibovich’s risk scores at 5, 10 and 15 years of follow up. Conclusions: The current analysis suggests that a risk adapted approach may be useful when considering adjuvant pembrolizumab in RCC patients.
Tumor/Nodal Stage | Baseline risk | Risk difference with TKIs | Risk difference with pembrolizumab |
---|---|---|---|
T1 | 41 per 1000 | 3 fewer per 1000; (6 fewer to 0 fewer) | 13 fewer per 1000; (from 19 fewer to 5 fewer) |
T2 | 108 per 1000 | 8 fewer per 1000; (16 fewer to 0 fewer) | 33 fewer per 1000; (from 49 fewer to 13 fewer) |
T3 | 167 per 1000 | 12 fewer per 1000; (25 fewer to 0 fewer) | 50 fewer per 1000; (from 75 fewer to 20 fewer) |
T4 | 600 per 1000 | 30 fewer per 1000; (63 fewer to 0 fewer) | 136 fewer per 1000; (from 215 fewer to 51 fewer) |
Nx/N0 | 71 per 1000 | 5 fewer per 1000; (11 fewer to 0 fewer) | 22 fewer per 1000; (from 33 fewer to 9 fewer) |
N+ | 318 per 1000 | 21 fewer per 1000; (43 fewer to 0 fewer) | 89 fewer per 1000; (from 134 fewer to 35 fewer) |
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