A single-center comparative surveillance strategies of ctDNA (Signatera), imaging, and CEA in the surveillance of resected colorectal cancer.

Authors

null

Jaideep Singh Sandhu

City of Hope Comprehensive Cancer Center, Duarte, CA

Jaideep Singh Sandhu , Chongkai Wang , Yi-Jen Chen , Dawnyel Chevalier , Sabrina Walia , Jae Y. Kim , Kurt Melstrom , Andreas M Kaiser , Marwan Fakih

Organizations

City of Hope Comprehensive Cancer Center, Duarte, CA, City of Hope, Duarte, CA, City of Hope National Medical Center, Duarte, CA

Research Funding

No funding received

Background: Signatera (S) assay is a CLIA certified minimal residual disease ctDNA assay that has become widely used for monitoring of disease relapse in patients (pts) with resected colorectal cancer. In a longitudinal study, S+ recurrence (SR) occurred at median > 10 months (mo) prior to radiographic disease recurrence (RDR) in a prospective clinical trial. However, the radiographic surveillance frequency in that study was inadequate by US standard practices. Methods: We retrospectively evaluated, in a single center, the sensitivity (ss), specificity (sp), positive predictive value (ppv) and negative predictive value (npv) of S, CT/MRI imaging (Im), and CEA in curatively resected stage II, III, IV pts against True Disease Recurrence (TDR). We considered TDR as any SR, RDR confirmed by pathology, RDR associated with CEA elevation, or RDR with sequential growth on imaging or regression with chemo. S and CEA were performed Q3 mo x 2 yrs and then Q6 mo x 3 yrs. Im was performed Q3 mo x 2 yrs and then Q6 mo x 3 yrs in resected stage IV, Q6 mo x 2 yrs and then Q yr x 3 in stage III/high-risk stage II, and Q yr x 5 yrs in low-risk stage II. Results: 48 pts underwent curative resection (31 stage II-III, 17 stage IV). 15 patients recurred during surveillance (6 stage II-III, 9 stage IV). The ss, sp, ppv, and npv of S, Im, CEA, and (Im and/or CEA) are tabulated below. S, Im, CEA, and Im or CEA were positive for recurrence at the diagnosis of TDR in 8, 9, 4, and 12, respectively. S sensitivity was poor for lung recurrence with 5/6 pts with lung-only mets (3 confirmed by path) being negative by S at the time of Im relapse. S was negative at the time of CNS recurrence and liver recurrence in 2 pts. 2 Pts with negative imaging at SR developed subsequent liver metastases. 2 Pts, counted as TDR, were SR and remain NED without any therapy, by CEA and Im > 1.5 years from S positivity. Conclusions: S does not appear to provide definitive advantages as a surveillance strategy over standard Im frequency- when performed as per NCCN guidelines. Sensitivity of S is particularly poor for low volume lung-only disease recurrence.

Stage
S %
Im %
CEA %
Im or CEA %
II-III
IV
II-IV
II-III
IV
II-IV
II-III
IV
II-IV
II-III
IV
II-IV
ss
66.7
44.4
53.3
33.3
77.8%
60
50
11.1
26.7
83.3
77.8
80
sp
100
100
100
96
100
96.9
88
100
90.9
84
100
87.8
ppv
100
100
100
66.7
100
90
50
100
57.1
55.6
100
75
npv
92.6
61.5
82.5
85.7
80
84.2
88
50
73.2
95.5
80
90.6

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2022 ASCO Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Poster Session C: Cancers of the Colon, Rectum, and Anus

Track

Colorectal Cancer,Anal Cancer

Sub Track

Other

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2022.40.4_suppl.200

Abstract #

200

Poster Bd #

Online Only

Abstract Disclosures