The potential long-term comparative effectiveness of larotrectinib versus regorafenib or trifluridine/tipiracil for treatment of metastatic TRK fusion colorectal cancer.

Authors

null

Kangho Suh

University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA

Kangho Suh , Josh John Carlson , Fang Xia , Todd E. Williamson , Sean D. Sullivan

Organizations

University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, The Comparative Health Outcomes, Policy, and Economics (CHOICE) Institute, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, Bayer U.S. LLC, Whippany, NJ, CHOICE Institute, School of Pharmacy, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

Research Funding

Pharmaceutical/Biotech Company

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third leading cause of cancer-related mortality in the US, driven primarily by those with metastatic disease. For patients with metastatic disease who have progressed through available first- and second-line options, the standard of care systemic therapies are regorafenib or trifluridine/tipiracil. Larotrectinib is approved for patients with TRK fusion advanced solid tumors including metastatic CRC. Our objective was to compare expected life-years (LYs) and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) for metastatic CRC patients eligible to receive larotrectinib, regorafenib or trifluridine/tipiracil. Methods: We developed a partitioned survival model to project long-term comparative effectiveness of larotrectinib vs. regorafenib or trifluridine/tipiracil. Larotrectinib survival data, assessed by independent review committee, were derived from a July 2020 analysis of 8 adult (≥18 years of age) metastatic TRK fusion CRC patients from the larotrectinib clinical trials program (NCT02122913, NCT02637687, and NCT02576431). Survival inputs for regorafenib and trifluridine/tipiracil were derived from the CORRECT trial (NCT01103323) and the RECOURSE trial (NCT01607957), respectively. Progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) for larotrectinib, regorafenib, and trifluridine/tipiracil were estimated using survival distributions (Exponential, Weibull, Log-logistic, and Log-normal) fit to the available data. Exponential fits were used based on goodness-of-fit and clinical plausibility. QALYs were estimated by adjusting the time spent in the pre-progression and post-progression health states by health state utilities derived from publicly available literature. In accordance with standard practice in health economics and outcomes research on future health benefits, a constant discount rate of 3% was applied to the LYs and QALYs. Model uncertainty was evaluated using one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis with 10,000 simulations. Results: Larotrectinib resulted in 2.11 LYs and 1.60 QALYs compared to 0.83 LYs and 0.59 QALYs for regorafenib and 0.85 LYs and 0.60 QALYs for trifluridine/tipiracil. These estimates yielded additional gains for larotrectinib of 1.28 LYs (1.01 QALYs) and 1.26 LYs (0.99 QALYs) against regorafenib and trifluridine/tipiracil, respectively. Conclusions: In metastatic CRC, larotrectinib may produce substantial life expectancy and quality-adjusted life-year gains compared to regorafenib or trifluridine/tipiracil. Additional data with longer follow-up times will further inform this comparison.

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2022 ASCO Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Poster Session C: Cancers of the Colon, Rectum, and Anus

Track

Colorectal Cancer,Anal Cancer

Sub Track

Patient-Reported Outcomes and Real-World Evidence

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2022.40.4_suppl.041

Abstract #

41

Poster Bd #

B9

Abstract Disclosures

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