Modeling the cost-effectiveness of adjuvant osimertinib in resected EGFR-mutant non-small cell lung cancer patients.

Authors

null

Christopher Lemmon

Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH

Christopher Lemmon , Emily Craig Zabor , Nathan A. Pennell

Organizations

Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH

Research Funding

No funding received
None

Background: Adjuvant Osimertinib (Osi) was recently approved for resected EGFR-mutant non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) based on disease free survival (DFS) benefits from the ADAURA trial. Prior studies of adjuvant EGFR inhibitors yielding DFS benefits have lacked an overall survival (OS) benefit, leading to debate over early clinical implementation given the associated drug costs. This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness (CE) of Osi in this setting. Methods: We constructed Markov models using post-resection health state transitions with digitized DFS data from the ADAURA trial to compare cost and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of the use of 3 years of adjuvant Osi versus placebo in the ADAURA patient population of stage IB to IIIA NSCLC patients over a 10-year time horizon. All patients entering the progressive disease (PD) state were assigned for re-treatment with Osi. Cost and utility values were derived from Medicare reimbursement data and literature (Table). A CE threshold of 3 times the GDP per capita was used. Deterministic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the impact of a range of OS benefit, as the impact of adjuvant Osi on OS has not yet been reported. Results: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for adjuvant Osi was $317,119.90 per QALY gained. Initial costs of Osi are higher in the first 3 years, but become lower than the placebo group in year 4 onward, with similar costs after year 7. Costs due to PD are higher in the placebo group through the first 6.5 years. Average pre-PD, post-PD, and total costs were $2,388, $379,047, and $502,937, respectively in the placebo group, compared to $505,775, $255,638, and $800,697, respectively in the Osi group. QALYs were higher in the Osi arm throughout. Sensitivity analysis using incremental OS gains reaches the CE threshold of $195,000 between 25-30% OS benefit of Osi over placebo. A 50% discount to the Osi annual cost yielded an ICER of $115,419. Conclusions: 3 years of adjuvant Osi is more cost-effective than placebo if one is willing to pay $317,119 more per QALY gained, with most costs accruing in the first 3 years as drug cost. This strategy became cost-effective with an OS benefit between 25-30% over placebo. Discount to Osi annual costs improves the ICER significantly. True cost-effectiveness of adjuvant Osi will require further study due to immaturity of ADAURA OS data and model limitations.

Model QALY utility an cost inputs.

QALY Utilities
NED state (osi/placebo)
0.81/0.83
PD state (CNS+/CNS-)
0.55/0.71
Annual Costs
EGFR testing
$324.58
Osimertinib cost
$222,196
NED state healthcare costs
1914.83
PD diagnostic costs
$7,202.88
PD state healthcare costs
$1,186.76
Average CNS+ PD lifetime costs
$45,081.39
Palliative/end of life cancer costs
$78,571.06
Adverse event costs and disutilities also incorporated

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2021 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Lung Cancer—Non-Small Cell Local-Regional/Small Cell/Other Thoracic Cancers

Track

Lung Cancer

Sub Track

Adjuvant Therapy

Citation

J Clin Oncol 39, 2021 (suppl 15; abstr 8527)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2021.39.15_suppl.8527

Abstract #

8527

Poster Bd #

Online Only

Abstract Disclosures