Automated imaging-based stratification of early-stage lung cancer patients prior to receiving surgical resection using deep learning applied to CTs.

Authors

null

Felipe Soares Torres

University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada

Felipe Soares Torres , Shazia Akbar , Srinivas Raman , Kazuhiro Yasufuku , Felix Baldauf-Lenschen , Natasha B. Leighl

Organizations

University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada, Altis Labs, Toronto, ON, Canada, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto, ON, Canada, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada

Research Funding

No funding received
None

Background: Computed tomography (CT) imaging is an important tool to guide further investigation and treatment in patients with lung cancer. For patients with early stage lung cancer, surgery remains an optimal treatment option. Artificial intelligence applied to pretreatment CTs may have the ability to quantify mortality risk and stratify patients for more individualized diagnostic, treatment and monitoring decisions. Methods: A fully automated, end-to-end model was designed to localize the 36cm x 36cm x 36cm space centered on the lungs and learn deep prognostic features using a 3-dimensional convolutional neural network (3DCNN) to predict 5-year mortality risk. The 3DCNN was trained and validated in a 5-fold cross-validation using 2,924 CTs of 1,689 lung cancer patients from 6 public datasets made available in The Cancer Imaging Archive. We evaluated 3DCNN’s ability to stratify stage I & II patients who received surgery into mortality risk quintiles using the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: 260 of the 1,689 lung cancer patients in the withheld validation dataset were diagnosed as stage I or II, received a surgical resection within 6 months of their pretreatment CT and had known 5-year disease and survival outcomes. Based on the 3DCNN’s predicted mortality risk, patients in the highest risk quintile had a 14.2-fold (95% CI 4.3-46.8,p< 0.001) increase in 5-year mortality hazard compared to patients in the lowest risk quintile. Conclusions: Deep learning applied to pretreatment CTs provides personalised prognostic insights for early stage lung cancer patients who received surgery and has the potential to inform treatment and monitoring decisions.

3DCNN Predicted Mortality Risk Quintiles
Number at Risk
HR
p
0 years
1 year
2 years
3 years
4 years
5 years
1 (lowest risk)
52
52
51
51
50
49
--
--
2
52
51
48
45
43
41
3.99
0.034
3
52
52
50
47
41
41
3.94
0.035
4
52
49
45
43
39
36
6.18
0.004
5 (highest risk)
52
43
33
28
25
24
14.21
< 0.001

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2021 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Care Delivery and Regulatory Policy

Track

Care Delivery and Quality Care

Sub Track

Clinical Informatics/Advanced Algorithms/Machine Learning

Citation

J Clin Oncol 39, 2021 (suppl 15; abstr 1552)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2021.39.15_suppl.1552

Abstract #

1552

Poster Bd #

Online Only

Abstract Disclosures

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