Association of the clinical cell-cycle risk score with metastasis after radiation therapy and identification of men with prostate cancer who can forgo combined androgen deprivation therapy.

Authors

Jonathan Tward

Jonathan David Tward

Huntsman Cancer Institute, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT

Jonathan David Tward , Constantine Mantz , Neal D. Shore , Paul Nguyen , Isla Garraway , Carl A Olsson , Steve Pai-hsun Lee , Arthur Hung , R Jonathan Henderson , Stanley L. Liauw , David Raben , Michael D. Fabrizio , Daniel R. Saltzstein , Paul Yonover , Hiram Alberto Gay , Daniel Joseph Albertson , Tatjana Antic , Lauren Lenz , Steven Stone , Todd Cohen

Organizations

Huntsman Cancer Institute, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, 21st Century Oncology, Fory Myers, FL, Carolina Urologic Research Center, Myrtle Beach, SC, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, Veterans Affairs Medical Center Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, Integrated Medical Professionals, PLLC, Columbia University Medical Center, North Hills, NY, Long Beach VA, Long Beach, CA, Oregon Health & Science University Department of Radiation Oncology, Portland, OR, Regional Urology, LLC, Shreveport, LA, University of Chicago Pritzker School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO, Urology of Virginia, Virginia Beach, VA, Urology San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, UroPartners, Chicago, IL, Washington University School of Medicine, Department of Radiation Oncology, St. Louis, MO, University of Utah Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, UT, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, Myriad Genetics, Inc., Salt Lake City, UT

Research Funding

Pharmaceutical/Biotech Company
Myriad Genetics, Inc.

Background: This study evaluated the ability of the combined clinical cell-cycle risk score (CCR) to prognosticate the risk of prostate cancer metastasis in men receiving dose-escalated radiation therapy (RT) with or without androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). Methods: The CCR score is a validated model that combines the cell cycle progression score (CCP) with the UCSF Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment score (CAPRA). The CCR score and a CCR-based multimodality threshold score (2.112) were evaluated in a retrospective, multi-institutional cohort of men with National Comprehensive Cancer Center (NCCN) intermediate- or high-risk localized disease (N = 741) who received single (RT) or multimodality therapy (ADT with RT). Effects of prognostic variables were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression methods. Results: Median follow-up was 5.9 years. CCR predicted metastasis [hazard ratio (HR) 2.21, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.70-2.87, p < 0.001]. The CCR score was a better prognosticator of metastasis (C-index 0.78) than either NCCN-risk group (C-index 0.70), CAPRA score (C-index 0.71), or CCP score (C-index 0.69) alone. In bivariate analyses, the CCR score remained highly prognostic for metastasis when comparing any ADT vs none (HR 2.19, 95% CI 1.62 to 2.97, p < 0.001), ADT duration as a continuous variable (HR 2.05, 95% CI 1.54-2.72, p < 0.001), or ADT use given as less than or at the recommended duration for each NCCN risk group (HR 2.22, 95% CI 1.71-2.88, p < 0.001). Men with CCR scores either below or above the threshold (2.112) had a 10-year risk of metastasis of 4.2% and 25.3%, respectively. For men below the threshold receiving RT alone versus RT+ADT, the 10-year risk of metastasis was 4.2% and 3.9%, respectively. Conclusions: CCR is a highly precise and accurate predictor of metastasis in men undergoing dose-escalated RT, with or without ADT. CCR adds clinically actionable information relative to guideline recommended therapies that are based on NCCN risk groups or CAPRA alone. Men with scores below the multimodality threshold may not significantly reduce their 10-year risk of metastasis with the addition of ADT.

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2021 Genitourinary Cancers Symposium

Session Type

Oral Abstract Session

Session Title

Oral Abstract Session: Prostate Cancer

Track

Prostate Cancer - Advanced,Prostate Cancer - Localized

Sub Track

Tumor Biology, Biomarkers, and Pathology

Citation

J Clin Oncol 39, 2021 (suppl 6; abstr 195)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2021.39.6_suppl.195

Abstract #

195

Abstract Disclosures

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