Impact of primary tumor size/horizontal extent on survival in colorectal cancer.

Authors

null

Olatunji B. Alese

Department of Hematology and Medical Oncology, Winship Cancer Institute of Emory University, Atlanta, GA

Olatunji B. Alese , Wei Zhou , Renjian Jiang , Katerina Mary Zakka , Walid Labib Shaib , Christina Wu , Maria Diab , Mehmet Akce , Bassel F. El-Rayes

Organizations

Department of Hematology and Medical Oncology, Winship Cancer Institute of Emory University, Atlanta, GA, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, Winship Research Informatics, Winship Cancer Institute of Emory University, Atlanta, GA, Winship Cancer Institute of Emory University, Atlanta, GA, Winship Cancer Institute, Atlanta, GA

Research Funding

No funding received
None

Background: Pathologic staging in colorectal cancer (CRC) is crucial in patient management. Data regarding the impact of size/horizontal tumor extent is limited, contradictory and currently excluded from the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging model. However, a previously published SEER analysis showed that AJCC stages I and IIIA have similar 2- and 5- year survival rates, and worse rates for stage II. Using the largest cohort to date, we report the impact of primary tumor size on CRC survival. Methods: Data were obtained from all US hospitals that contributed to the National Cancer Database (NCDB) between 2010 and 2015. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify factors associated with patient outcome. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association between tumor/patient characteristics and overall survival (OS). Results: A total of 61,145 patients were identified with a similar gender distribution (M/F:50.9%/49.1%). The mean age was 62.7years (SD+/-14.1) and 82% were non-Hispanic Whites. Majority had colon primary (82.7%) and 82.4% had microsatellite stable (MSS) disease. Distribution across stages I-IV was 20.1%, 32.1%, 34.7% and 13.2% respectively. Among the total study population, AJCC stage correlated closely with OS on multivariate analysis (HR 1.49, 2.29, 8.38 for stages II to IV compared to stage I), while the distinguishing power for tumor size was relatively mild (HR 1.19 and 1.33 for 5-10 cm and >5cm compared to <5cm). Among patients with stage II disease, tumors >10cm were associated with worse survival compared to those <5cm (HR 1.2; 1.03-1.39; p=0.22). Stage III disease also had differential survival rates; patients with tumors 5-10cm (HR 1.21; 1.14-1.28; p<0.001) and >10cm (HR 1.57; 1.37-1.80; p<0.001) had worse survival than those <5cm. Patients with stage II who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy (CTX) had worse survival outcomes (HR 1.29; 1.08-1.55; p=0.005) compared to stage III disease who did. Accounting for tumor size, there was no statistically significant survival differences between stage I patients and stages II and III patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy. Conclusions: Tumors larger than 10cm have inferior outcomes among patients in the same AJCC stages. Stage II patients without adjuvant CTX did worse than stage III with CTX. Further studies are needed to clarify the role of tumor size in staging models.

Survival among patients with stage I CRC (colon vs. Rectal) vs. stage II +/- adjuvant chemotherapy (CTX) vs. stage III + CTX.

GroupNo. of SubjectMedian Survival (95% CI)12-month Survival (95% CI)
Stage I T2N0 (Rectal – without CTX)775NR (NR, NR)96.8% (95.3%, 97.9%)
Stage I T2N0 (colon - without CTX)5222NR (92.6, NR)95.1% (94.5%, 95.7%)
Stage II with CTX6591NR (90.7, NR)97.4% (97.0%, 97.8%)
Stage II without CTX13016NR (91, NR)92.7% (92.2%, 93.1%)
Stage III with CTX16658NR (91.7, NR)95.8% (95.5%, 96.1%)

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2021 Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Poster Session: Colorectal Cancer

Track

Colorectal Cancer

Sub Track

Tumor Biology, Biomarkers, and Pathology

Citation

J Clin Oncol 39, 2021 (suppl 3; abstr 125)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2021.39.3_suppl.125

Abstract #

125

Poster Bd #

Online Only

Abstract Disclosures

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