PSA velocity to predict clinical progression in African American and non-Hispanic White patients with low-risk prostate cancer undergoing active surveillance.

Authors

null

Juan Javier-Desloges

UC-San Diego Health, San Diego, CA

Juan Javier-Desloges , Tyler Nelson , Patrick Travis Courtney , Rishi Deka , Vinit Nalawade , Loren K. Mell , James Don Murphy , J Kellogg Parsons , Brent S. Rose

Organizations

UC-San Diego Health, San Diego, CA, University of California San Diego, School of Medicine, Department of Radiation Medicine and Applied Sciences, La Jolla, CA, UC San Diego Health System, La Jolla, CA, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, University of California San Diego Moores Cancer Center, La Jolla, CA, University of California, San Diego Department of Radiation Medicine and Applied Sciences, La Jolla, CA, UCSD Moores Cancer Center, La Jolla, CA

Research Funding

Other
Department of Defense, grant number W81XWH-17-PCRP-PRA (RD and BSR).

Background: The utility of prostate-specific antigen velocity (PSAV) to predict clinical progression in patients with localized prostate cancer (PC) on active surveillance remains unclear, and in African American (AA) patients on active surveillance remains undefined. Methods: We performed a cohort analysis using the national US Veterans Affairs Informatics and Computing Infrastructure (VINCI). We identified 5296 patients diagnosed with localized prostate cancer (PC) from 2001 to 2015 managed with active surveillance. Follow-up extended through March 31, 2020. We defined low-risk PC as ISUP grade group 1 (GG1) clinical tumor stage ≤ 2A, and PSA level ≤ 10 ng/dl; and active surveillance as no definitive treatment within the first year after diagnosis with at least one additional staging biopsy after diagnostic biopsy. The primary outcome was grade progression on repeat biopsy/prostatectomy defined as GG2 or GG3. The secondary outcome was incident metastases. Cumulative incidence functions and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to test associations between PSAV and outcomes. Results: The final cohort included 3919 Non-Hispanic White patients (NHW) (74%) and 1377 AA (26%) patients. GG2 progression on repeat biopsy occurred in 2062 (38.9%) patients, with a cumulative incidence (CI) of 43.2 % and GG3 progression occurred in 728 (13.7%) patients, with a CI of 18% at seven years. Fifty-four (0.8%) patients developed metastases, with a CI of 1.4% at ten years. In unadjusted analyses, compared to NHW patients, AA patients were significantly more likely to progress to GG2 (52.8% vs 39.8%, p<0.001), and GG3 (22.2% vs 16.8%, p=0.01). On MV analysis, PSAV was a significant predictor of GG2 (HR 1.32 [1.26-1.39]), GG3 (1.5 [1.40-1.62]), and metastases (1.38 [1.10-1.74]). A significant interaction term between race and PSAV indicated the need for different PSAV thresholds for AA and NHW men. Based on maximally selected rank statistics, optimal thresholds for separating outcomes were different in AA vs NHW men. (0.44 vs. 1.18). Conclusions: In this analysis of PSAV in low-risk prostate cancer patients on AS—to our knowledge, the largest to date for AA patients—we observed that PSAV is a robust predictor of upgrading on restaging biopsy as well as metastasis. Compared to NHW patients, AA patients were more likely to progress at lower values of PSAV and therefore merit close follow-up on active surveillance protocols.

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2021 Genitourinary Cancers Symposium

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Poster Session: Prostate Cancer - Localized Disease

Track

Prostate Cancer - Localized

Sub Track

Cancer Disparities

Citation

J Clin Oncol 39, 2021 (suppl 6; abstr 196)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2021.39.6_suppl.196

Abstract #

196

Poster Bd #

Online Only

Abstract Disclosures

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