Clinical analysis of the extracellular vesicle-fingerprint score blood test to refine the prediction of clinically significant prostate cancer and avoid prostate biopsy.

Authors

null

Adrian S. Fairey

University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada

Adrian S. Fairey , Robert J Paproski , Desmond Pink , Deborah L Sosnowski , Catalina Vasquez , Bryan Donnelly , M. Eric Hyndman , Armen G. Aprikian , Perrin Beatty , John D Lewis

Organizations

University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada, Nanostics Inc., Edmonton, AB, Canada, Department of Surgical Oncology, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada, Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada, University of Alberta, Edmonton,, AB, Canada

Research Funding

Other Foundation
Alberta Cancer Foundation, Other Foundation

Background: The accuracy of the extracellular vesicle-fingerprint score (EV-FPS) test to predict clinically significant prostate cancer (PCa; Gleason grade (GG) ≥ 3) from indolent disease (GG ≤ 2) and avoid unnecessary prostate biopsies was determined at the point of prostate biopsy decision. Methods: Clinical data, health information, and blood samples were collected from a prospective validation cohort of 415 men, without prior PCa diagnosis, referred to urology clinics for prostate biopsy or transurethral prostate surgery (June 2014-Dec 2016). The patient’s EV-FPS risk score was calculated by combining machine learning model-analyzed microflow cytometry data from EV biomarkers with logistic regression-analyzed patient-centric clinical features. The plasma-derived EV biomarkers were prostate-specific membrane antigen, polysialic acid and ghrelin-growth hormone receptor. The patient clinical features were; age, ethnicity, PCa family history, PSA levels, abnormal digital rectal examination (DRE) and prior negative prostate biopsy. Together, the biomarkers and clinical features provided specificity for clinically significant PCa. Results: The EV-FPS test identified clinically significant PCa patients with high accuracy (0.81 area under curve) at 95% sensitivity and 97% negative predictive value. Using a 7.85% probability cut-off after test validation; 95% of the patients with GG ≥ 3 would have been found before biopsy, 35% biopsies would have been avoided and diagnosis of GG ≥ 3 PCa would have been missed in only 5% of the cohort. Conclusions: This minimally invasive EV-FPS test accurately predicted clinically significant PCa in men with high EV-FPS risk scores, high PSA level and/or abnormal DRE. Therefore, men with low EV-FPS risk scores could potentially avoid unnecessary prostate biopsies. Clinical care cut-offs to calculate the number of biopsies that could have been avoided, and the percentage of GG ≥ 1 to GG ≥ 3 PCa that could have had a delayed diagnosis.

PCPTRC + EV-FPS cut-offBiopsies
GG ≥ 1 PCa
GG ≥ 2 PCa
GG ≥ 3 PCa
Performed (%)Avoided (%)Found (%)Missed (%)Found (%)Missed (%)Found (%)Missed (%)
0%415 (100%)0 (0%)258 (100%)0 (0%)168 (100%)0 (0%)73 (100%)0 (0%)
≥ 5%384 (93%)31 (7%)248 (96%)10 (4%)164 (98%)4 (2%)73 (100%)0 (0%)
≥ 7.5%294 (71%)121 (29%)203 (79%)55 (21%)143 (85%)25 (15%)69 (95%)4 (5%)
≥ 7.847%271 (65%)144 (35%)190 (74%)68 (26%)139 (83%)29 (17%)69 (95%)4 (5%)
≥ 10%200 (48%)215 (52%)143 (55%)115 (45%)106 (63%)62 (37%)61 (84%)12 (16%)

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2020 ASCO Virtual Scientific Program

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Genitourinary Cancer—Prostate, Testicular, and Penile

Track

Genitourinary Cancer—Prostate, Testicular, and Penile

Sub Track

Epidemiology/Outcomes

Citation

J Clin Oncol 38: 2020 (suppl; abstr 5530)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2020.38.15_suppl.5530

Abstract #

5530

Poster Bd #

111

Abstract Disclosures

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