Cost-effectiveness of neoadjuvant FOLFIRINOX versus gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel in locally advanced/borderline resectable pancreatic cancer patients.

Authors

null

Myles Ingram

Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY

Myles Ingram , Brianna N Lauren , Yoanna S Pumpalova , Gulam Abbas Manji , Susan Elaine Bates , Chin Hur

Organizations

Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY, Columbia University Herbert Irving Comprehensive Cancer Center, New York, NY

Research Funding

U.S. National Institutes of Health
U.S. National Institutes of Health

Background: The 2019 NCCN guidelines recommend neoadjuvant FOLFIRINOX or neoadjuvant gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel (G-nP) for locally advanced and borderline resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (BR/LA PDAC). Neoadjuvant FOLFIRINOX and G-nP have yet to be directly compared in a prospective, randomized trial with BR/LA PDAC patients. The purpose of our study was to incorporate treatment outcomes, toxicity profiles, costs, and quality-of-life measures to further inform clinical decision-making. Methods: We developed a decision-analytic mathematical model to compare the total cost and health outcomes of neoadjuvant FOLFIRINOX against G-nP over twelve years. Adjuvant gemcitabine (GEM) was used as a comparator. The inputs for the model were estimated using clinical trial data and published literature. We used single-institution retrospective studies to estimate our survival data in the absence of a prospective trial. The primary endpoint was incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) with a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $100,000 per quality-adjusted-life-year (QALY). Secondary endpoints included overall (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), total cost of care (USD), QALYs, patient resection rate, and monthly treatment-related adverse events (TRAE) costs (USD). Results: FOLFIRINOX was the cost-effective strategy, totaling incremental QALYs of 0.21 at a cost of $52,845.96 per QALY when compared to G-nP. G-nP was also on the efficiency frontier with an ICER of $46,430.73 compared to GEM. More patients received resection with FOLFIRINOX (82.15% vs. 72.40%), but had higher TRAE costs than G-nP ($12,051.26 vs. $4,666.97). A one-way sensitivity analysis found that the FOLFIRINOX ICER exceeds the WTP threshold when TRAE costs are higher and resection rates are lower. Conclusions: Our modeling analysis finds FOLFIRNOX is the cost-effective treatment compared to G-nP for BR/LA PDAC despite having a higher cost of total care due to TRAE costs. Trial data with sufficient follow-up are needed to confirm our findings.

Life-YearsCost (USD)QALYs5-Year OS/PFS (%)Median OS/PFS (months)TRAE Cost/MonthResection Rate (%)ICERs
GEM3.04$152,310.822.2518.80/3.8829.92/11.08$2,446.99100.00--
G-nP3.55$175,589.852.7525.48/20.0732.29/23.70$4,666.9772.40$46,430.73
FOLFIRINOX3.92$187,030.062.9629.40/25.2137.35/30.57$12,051.2682.15$52,845.96

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2020 ASCO Virtual Scientific Program

Session Type

Publication Only

Session Title

Publication Only: Gastrointestinal Cancer—Gastroesophageal, Pancreatic, and Hepatobiliary

Track

Gastrointestinal Cancer—Gastroesophageal, Pancreatic, and Hepatobiliary

Sub Track

Pancreatic Cancer

Citation

J Clin Oncol 38: 2020 (suppl; abstr e16793)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2020.38.15_suppl.e16793

Abstract #

e16793

Abstract Disclosures