Association of postoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) with disease-free survival in patients with stage III colon cancer: ACHIEVE phase III randomized clinical trial.

Authors

null

Masahito Kotaka

Gastrointestinal Cancer Center, Sano Hospital, Kobe, Japan

Masahito Kotaka , Dai Manaka , Tetsuya Eto , Junichi Hasegawa , Akinori Takagane , Masato Nakamura , Takeshi Kato , Yoshinori Munemoto , Fumitaka Nakamura , Hiroyuki Bando , Hiroki Taniguchi , Makio Gamoh , Manabu Shiozawa , Masayasu Nishi , Tetsuya Horiuchi , Tsunekazu Mizushima , Takeharu Yamanaka , Takayuki Yoshino , Atsushi Ohtsu , Masaki Mori

Organizations

Gastrointestinal Cancer Center, Sano Hospital, Kobe, Japan, Kyoto Katsura Hospital, Kyoto, Japan, Tsuchiura Kyodo General Hospital, Tsuchiura, Japan, Osaka Rosai Hospital, Sakai, Japan, Department of Surgery, Hakodate Goryoukaku Hospital, Hakodate, Japan, Aizawa Comprehensive Cancer Center, Aizawa Hospital, Matsumoto, Japan, Department of Surgery, Kansai Rosai Hospital, Amagasaki, Japan, Fukui-ken Saiseikai Hospital, Fukui, Japan, Teine Keijinkai Hospital, Sapporo, Japan, Gastroenterological Surgery, Ishikawa Prefectural Central Hospital, Kanazawa, Japan, Department of Surgery, Japanese Red Cross Kyoto Daini Hospital, Kyoto, Japan, Department of Medical Oncology, Osaki Citizen Hospital, Osaki, Japan, Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Kanagawa Cancer Center, Yokohama, Japan, Department of Gastroenterological Surgery, Hyogo Cancer Center, Akashi, Japan, Department of Surgery, National Hospital Organization, Osaka Minami Medical Center, Kawachinagano, Japan, Department of Gastroenterological Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University, Osaka, Japan, Department of Biostatistics, Yokohama City University School of Medicine, Yokohama, Japan, National Cancer Center Hospital East, Kashiwa, Japan, Department of Surgery and Science, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan

Research Funding

Other Foundation
Japanese Foundation for Multidisciplinary Treatment of Cancer

Background: ACHIEVE, as part of the IDEA collaboration, was a multicenter trial randomizing patients with stage 3 resected colon cancer to either 3 versus 6 months of adjuvant FOLFOX/CAPOX. We previously reported that the hazard ratios (HRs) in disease-free survival (DFS) of 3 versus 6 months duration according to risk stage (low-risk [T1-3 and N1] or high-risk [T4 or N2]) and regimen (FOLFOX or CAPOX) as well as in overall population were consistent with those observed in the whole IDEA. This study aimed to clarify the significance of post-operative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) on DFS in stage 3 colon cancer. Methods: Eligibility included post-operative serum CEA value of ≤10 ng/ml at registration in the ACHIEVE trial, which enrolled 1313 patients between 2012 and 2014, out of whom 1291 pts were the modified ITT (mITT) population and used in this study. The cutoff values of CEA analyzed for prognostic analyses were the median value (1.8 ng/ml) in the mITT, the upper limit of normal (ULN) level (5.0 ng/ml), and the half of ULN (2.5 ng/ml). The association of post-operative CEA with DFS were measured by Cox regression analyses. Results: Of the 3 cutoff values, the ULN (5.0 ng/ml) was associated with DFS more strongly than the median (1.8 ng/ml) or half of ULN (2.5 ng/ml), with a HR of 1.75 (95%CI, 1.24-2.46) (Table). The 99 patients (7.7%) were identified as the CEA > ULN and 1192 (92.3%) as < ULN. In univariate analysis, regimen (CAPOX or FOLFOX), ECOG PS (0 or 1), T factor (T1-3 or T4), N factor (N1 or N2-3) and CEA ( < ULN or > ULN) were significantly associated with DFS. Multivariate Cox regression identified CEA > ULN as an independent poor risk factor (HR = 1.45; 95%CI, 1.03-2.05). Shorter DFS in patients with CEA > ULN than in those with CEA < ULN was consistently observed in each subgroup of baseline factors, including treatment duration, regimen, age, gender, PS, T-stage, N-stage, no of lymph nodes examined, and tumor location; no interaction was observed between CEA and these factors. Conclusions: Post-operative serum CEA is also a strong prognostic factor for DFS in stage 3 colon cancer. Clinical trial information: 000008543.

cut-off valueEVENT/N3-year DFS (95% CI)5-year DFS (95% CI)HR (95% CI)p value
1.8ng/ml185/66877% (74-80%j72% (68-75%)1.29 (1.04-1.61)0.0226*
?138/62381% (77-84%)78% (74-81%)
2.5ng/ml129/42675% (70-79%)69% (65-74%)1.41 (1.13-1.76)0.0026*
?194/86581% (78-83%)77% (74-80%)
5.0ng/ml37/9964% (54-73%)62% (52-71%)1.75 (1.24-2.46)0.0014*
?286/119280% (78-82%)76% (73-78%)

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2020 ASCO Virtual Scientific Program

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Gastrointestinal Cancer—Colorectal and Anal

Track

Gastrointestinal Cancer—Colorectal and Anal

Sub Track

Epidemiology/Outcomes

Clinical Trial Registration Number

000008543

Citation

J Clin Oncol 38: 2020 (suppl; abstr 4069)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2020.38.15_suppl.4069

Abstract #

4069

Poster Bd #

61

Abstract Disclosures

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