Algorithm for blood-based panel of methylated DNA and protein markers to detect early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma with high specificity.

Authors

null

Naga P. Chalasani

Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN

Naga P. Chalasani , Abhik Bhattacharya , Adam Book , Brenda Neis , Kong Xiong , T Ramasubramanian , Scott Johnson , Graham P. Lidgard , Lewis R. Roberts , John B. Kisiel , K Rajender Reddy , Amit G Singal , Marilyn Olson , Janelle J Bruinsma

Organizations

Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN, Exact Sciences Development Corporation, Madison, WI, EXACT Sciences Development Corporation, Madison, WI, EXACT Sciences Corp, Madison, WI, Exact Sciences Corporation, Madison, WI, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX

Research Funding

Pharmaceutical/Biotech Company
Exact Sciences

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. Though biannual ultrasound surveillance with or without alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) testing is recommended for at-risk patients, its sensitivity for early-stage HCC detection is suboptimal. We therefore evaluated performance of a biomarker panel incorporating methylated DNA markers (MDMs) and proteins for early HCC detection in at-risk patients with chronic liver disease. Methods: In an international, multicenter, case-control study, blood specimens were collected from patients with HCC per AASLD criteria and controls matched for age and liver disease etiology. All patients had underlying cirrhosis or chronic HBV infection. Whole blood was collected in cell-free DNA stabilizing and serum-separation tubes and shipped to a central laboratory for processing. The levels of 5 MDMs, AFP, and AFP-L3 were assessed along with age and sex. We used 537 samples in a 5-fold validation for developing a LASSO regression algorithm to classify samples as HCC positive or negative. Model robustness was tested by perturbing the data in silico and analyzing results with the predictive algorithm. Algorithm performance was compared to AFP alone and the GALAD score (Gender, Age, AFP-L3, AFP, and DCP). Results: The study included 136 HCC cases (81 early-stage—BCLC stage 0/A) and 401 controls. With specificity set at 89%, we developed a model using sex, AFP, and 3 MDMs (HOXA1, TSPYL5, B3GALT6) with higher sensitivity (70%) for early-stage HCC compared to GALAD (54%) or AFP (31% at 20 ng/mL or 52% at ≥7.7 ng/mL) (Table). The AUC for the HCC marker panel was 0.91 (95% CI 0.89 – 0.94) compared to GALAD (0.88; 95% CI 0.85 – 0.91) or AFP (0.84; 95% CI 0.81 – 0.87). The panel performed similarly in viral (AUC = 0.94) and non-viral (AUC = 0.89) etiologies. Conclusions: The robust algorithm based on novel blood-based biomarkers presented here provides higher sensitivity for early-stage HCC compared to other available blood-based biomarkers and, therefore, could significantly impact HCC clinical management and patient outcomes. Further clinical studies to validate the algorithm are ongoing. Clinical trial information: NCT03628651.

Performance of HCC marker panel.

Sensitivity
% (95% CI)
Specificity
% (95% CI)
All-Stage AUC
(95% CI)
Early-StageAll-Stage
Current HCC marker panel70 (60 – 80)81 (74 – 87)89 (86 – 92)0.91 (0.89 – 0.94)
GALAD54 (43 – 65)68 (59 – 75)89 (86 – 92)0.88 (0.85 – 0.91)
AFP (≥7.7 ng/mL)52 (41 – 63)64 (56 – 72)89 (86 – 92)0.84 (0.81 – 0.87)
AFP (20 ng/mL)31 (21 – 42)46 (38 – 55)98 (96 – 99)

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2020 ASCO Virtual Scientific Program

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Gastrointestinal Cancer—Gastroesophageal, Pancreatic, and Hepatobiliary

Track

Gastrointestinal Cancer—Gastroesophageal, Pancreatic, and Hepatobiliary

Sub Track

Hepatobiliary Cancer

Clinical Trial Registration Number

NCT03628651

Citation

J Clin Oncol 38: 2020 (suppl; abstr 4577)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2020.38.15_suppl.4577

Abstract #

4577

Poster Bd #

185

Abstract Disclosures

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