Ability of the combined clinical cell-cycle risk score to identify patients that benefit from multi versus single modality therapy in NCCN intermediate and high-risk prostate cancer.

Authors

Jonathan Tward

Jonathan David Tward

Huntsman Cancer Institute, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT

Jonathan David Tward , Thorsten Schlomm , Stephen Bardot , Stephen J. Freedland , Lauren Lenz , Todd Cohen , Steven Stone , Jay Bishoff

Organizations

Huntsman Cancer Institute, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, Charité Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany, Ochsner Health System, Jefferson, LA, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, Myriad Genetics, Inc., Salt Lake City, UT, Intermountain Healthcare, Murray, UT

Research Funding

Other
Myriad Genetics, Inc

Background: Prolaris combines RNA expression analysis of cell cycle progression genes with clinicopathologic information to create a combined clinical cell-cycle risk score (CCR). We evaluated the ability of CCR to predict metastasis (mets) in men for whom guidelines indicate that multimodality therapy (MTx) should be considered. Methods: A commercial cohort (N=15669) of National Comprehensive Cancer Network unfavorable intermediate-risk (UFI) and high-risk (HR) men revealed a distribution of 70.5% and 29.5% respectively. A CCR threshold of 2.112 was selected so that 29.5% of these men were above the threshold. MTx was defined as combined use of androgen deprivation therapy with radiation (RT) or surgery, or with adjuvant RT. Associations were evaluated in a 718-person retrospective, multi-institutional database of Prolaris-tested UFI and HR men. Kaplan-Meier (KM) analyses and Cox regressions were used to estimate the effects of prognostic covariates. Results: Median follow-up was 5.13 years. CCR predicted mets in the full cohort (HR =3.8 [2.7,5.2], p<10−15) and after accounting for CAPRA (HR=4.3 [2.7,7.0], p< 10−7). CCR also was a significant predictor of mets in patients who received STx, as a continuous predictor (HR=4.0 [2.6,6.1], p<10−9) and when dichotomized at the threshold (HR=15.9 [5.4,46.5], p< 10−9). The KM probability of mets by 10 years for those below and above the threshold was 4.3% and 20.4% respectively. MTx reduced patients’ risk of mets (HR=0.46 [0.22,0.97], p=0.04), and treatment benefit can be evaluated as a function of CCR score (Table). Conclusions: The CCR score prognosticates a clinically meaningful different risk of metastasis for those receiving MTx versus STx. Approximately 27% and 73% of people with HR or UFI risk cancer have CCR scores below the risk threshold and may consider STx after considering the difference in risk of mets.

CCRSTx RiskMTx RiskRisk Reduction for MTx
00.4% (0.1%, 1.2%)0.2% (0.04%, 0.7%)-0.2%
11.6% (0.7%, 3.8%)0.7% (0.2%, 2.4%)-0.9%
26.8% (3.6%, 12.9%)3.2% (1.3%, 7.9%)-3.6%
326.9% (15.5%, 43.9%)13.5% (6.6%, 26.5%)-13.4%
474.9% (47.5%, 94.8%)47.4% (26.4%, 73.8%)-27.5%

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2020 Genitourinary Cancers Symposium

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Poster Session A: Prostate Cancer

Track

Prostate Cancer - Advanced,Prostate Cancer - Localized

Sub Track

Tumor Biology, Biomarkers, and Pathology

Citation

J Clin Oncol 38, 2020 (suppl 6; abstr 346)

Abstract #

346

Poster Bd #

N8

Abstract Disclosures

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