Development of a risk calculator of recurrence in inguinal lymph node metastatic (ILNM) patients with surgically resected penile squamous cell carcinoma (PSCC).

Authors

null

Marco Bandini

Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy

Marco Bandini , Yao Zhu , Dingwei Ye , Antonio Augusto Ornellas , Nick Watkin , Michael Ager , Oliver W. Hakenberg , Axel Heidenreich , Daniele Raggi , Mario Catanzaro , Laura Marandino , Friederike Haidl , Francesco Montorsi , Juan Chipollini , Mounsif Azizi , Maarten Albersen , Roberto Salvioni , Oscar Brouwer , Philippe E. Spiess , Andrea Necchi

Organizations

Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy, Department of Urology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai, China, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Shanghai, China, Hospital Mário Kröeff and Brazilian Cancer Institute, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil, St. George’s University Hospitals, NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom, University Hospital Rostock, Rostock, Germany, University Hospital of Cologne, Cologne, Germany, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Torino, Italy, Department of Urology and Uro-Oncology, University Hospital of Cologne, Cologne, Germany, Universita Vita Salute San Raffaele, Milan, Italy, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute, Tampa, FL, Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, FL, UZ Leuven, Leuven, Belgium, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Antoni van Leeuwenhoek, Amsterdam, Netherlands, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, FL, Department of Medical Oncology, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy

Research Funding

Other
Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori.

Background: ILNM PSCC patients (pts) have heterogeneous outcomes. We aimed to identify risk factors of early recurrence in order to optimize the selection of pts for adjuvant (adj) therapies (tx). Methods: In a multicenter database of 924 pts who underwent ILN dissection, we identified 311 ILNM pts. Pts treated with neoadj chemo (CT) and/or radiotherapy (RT) were excluded. Multivariable Cox regression analyses (MVA) tested for predictors of recurrence, after adjusting for adj tx, age, type of surgery of the primary and smoking status. As primary endpoint, a risk calculator predicting early (24-month) risk of recurrence was developed. As secondary endpoint, the overall survival (OS) benefit of adj tx was examined according to the risk calculator-derived tertiles using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: Overall, 159 pts (51.1%) had pN1-2 and 203 (65.3%) pT2-4 disease. Overall, 195 (62.7%) and 78 (25.1%) received partial or total penectomy, whereas 6 (1.9%) local excision and 32 (10.3%) other procedures. Median number of removed and positive ILN were 15 (IQR 9-21) and 2 (IQR 1-3). Pelvic LND was performed in 154 (49.5%) pts, and 39% of them had pelvic LNM. In MVA, ILN ratio (HR: 1.01, p= 0.04), pN3 (HR: 2.53, p=0.002) and positive proximal margin of the primary (HR: 2.13, p=0.02) were significantly associated with recurrence. The c-index of our 3-variable risk calculator was 68%, with a net benefit higher that treat-all option from 20% to 90% threshold-probabilities. Within the cohort of adj CT and/or RT (N=127) pts, intermediate-high tertile had similar median OS (NR vs 107m) compared to pts in the low tertile (p=0.1). Conversely, intermediate-high tertile pts who received observation alone had shorter OS (NR vs 40m) compared to the same pts in the lower tertile (p<0.001). Similar results were obtained for CT and RT separately analyzed. Conclusions: We developed and internally validated a risk calculator to predict early recurrence in ILNM surgically-resected PSCC pts. According to our risk-calculator, pts with intermediate/higher risk of early recurrence may benefit from adj tx. Our risk calculator can be used for counseling and enrolment in ongoing studies.

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2020 Genitourinary Cancers Symposium

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Poster Session B: Prostate Cancer; Urothelial Carcinoma; Penile, Urethral, Testicular, and Adrenal Cancers

Track

Urothelial Carcinoma,Adrenal Cancer,Penile Cancer,Prostate Cancer - Advanced,Prostate Cancer - Localized,Testicular Cancer,Urethral Cancer

Sub Track

Therapeutics

Citation

J Clin Oncol 38, 2020 (suppl 6; abstr 1)

Abstract #

1

Poster Bd #

A6

Abstract Disclosures

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