University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
Neehar Parikh , Alexander Marshall , Keith D. Huff , Rachel Savidge , Keith A. Betts , Jinlin Song , Jing Zhao , Muhan Yuan , Richard D. Kim
Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver malignancy, and is often advanced at the time of diagnosis. This study conducted a network meta-analysis (NMA) to assess the comparative efficacy of second-line (2L) immunotherapy and tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) without biomarker selection for advanced HCC (aHCC), including nivolumab (NIVO) + ipilimumab (IPI), cabozantinib (CABO), regorafenib (REG), and placebo (PBO). Methods: Randomized trials for CABO and REG (CELESTIAL and RESORCE) were identified through a literature review and included in the NMA. NIVO (1mg/kg) + IPI (3mg/kg) (from CHECKMATE-040) was linked into the evidence network through a matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) vs. the PBO arm of the CELESTIAL trial. The CELESTIAL trial was chosen due to the similar study design and patient population as the CHECKMATE-040 trial. Clinically relevant characteristics were matched, which included age, sex, Barcelona clinic liver cancer stage, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group status, α-fetoprotein level, and prior treatments. The NMA included CELESTIAL, RESORCE, and the MAIC results. Investigator-assessed ORR and hazard ratio (HR) of overall survival (OS) were compared in the NMA. Results: After matching the baseline characteristics in the MAIC, the ORR of NIVO+IPI was 30.4% and the HR vs. PBO was 0.35. In the NMA, NIVO+IPI had significantly higher ORR (31.2%) compared to TKIs and PBO (REG: 4.8%; CABO: 4.2%; PBO: 1.0%, differences are presented in Table). In addition, NIVO+IPI was associated with significantly prolonged OS vs. TKIs and PBO (HR: NIVO+IPI vs. REG: 0.56; NIVO+IPI vs. CABO: 0.46; NIVO+IPI vs. PBO: 0.35). Conclusions: The NMA showed that NIVO+IPI was associated with significantly higher ORR and prolonged OS compared to TKIs as 2L treatments for aHCC.
NIVO+IPI vs. others (95% credible interval) |
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Difference in ORR (%) | HR of OS | |
REG | 26.4 (14.3, 40.1) * | 0.56 (0.32, 0.97) * |
CABO | 26.9 (15.2, 40.4) * | 0.46 (0.27, 0.79) * |
PBO | 30.1 (18.6, 43.5) * | 0.35 (0.21, 0.58) * |
*p-value<0.05
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