University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom
James Hugh Park , Anniken Jorlo Fuglestad , Anne Helene Kostner , Agata Oliwa , Campbell SD Roxburgh , Paul G. Horgan , Janet Shirley Graham , Christian Kersten , Donald C. McMillan
Background: The systemic inflammatory response (SIR) is a poor prognostic marker in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC), and predicts poor outcome following adjuvant chemotherapy. Whether this may be influenced by chemotherapy regime is not known. The present study examined the relationship between the pre-operative SIR, adjuvant therapy regime, and survival of patients with stage III CRC in the ScotScan cohort. Methods: Patients with stage III CRC in Scotland (1997-2015, n= 317) and Norway (2000-17, n= 312) were included. The pre-operative SIR was measured using C-reactive protein (CRP≤10mg/L or > 10mg/L). Adjuvant status was categorised as none, 5-fluorouracil-only (5FU or capecitabine), or oxaliplatin-combination (Ox). Relationship with 3 year overall (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) was examined. Results: Rates of Ox were comparable between cohorts (Scotland – 26% vs. Norway 28%), although more patients from Norway received single 5FU (4% vs. 19%, P= 0.005). 36% of each cohort were systemically inflamed. Ox was associated with superior OS (90%) and CSS (92%) when compared to 5FU (77% and 84%) and no therapy (61% and 72%, both P< 0.001). Stratified by SIR, patients with CRP≤10mg/L receiving Ox or 5FU had comparable 3yr OS greater than those receiving none (90% vs. 88% vs. 67%), whereas those with CRP > 10mg/L receiving Ox had superior survival than those receiving 5FU or no therapy (89% vs. 64% vs. 53%, P-for interaction = 0.101). Results were similar for CSS (CRP≤10mg/L: 91% vs. 94% vs. 79%; CRP > 10mg/L: 94% vs. 72% vs. 62%, P-for interaction= 0.01). Although patients receiving Ox were younger and less comorbid, both use of Ox and SIR remained independently associated with OS and CSS. Conclusions: Although selection bias in the choice of adjuvant therapy may confound analysis, this study suggests the SIR may aid in determining response to adjuvant therapy. Whereas non-inflamed patients with stage III CRC may benefit from single 5FU, those with an elevated SIR may benefit greater from more intensive, Ox-based regimes. These results remain to be validated, however support the use of the SIR as a prognostic and predictive biomarker in patients with stage III CRC.
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