University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX
Yehia I. Abugabal , Aliya Qayyum , Manal Hassan , Lianchun Xiao , Dan G. Duda , Rikita Hatia , Sunyoung S. Lee , Robert A. Wolff , Roberto Pestana , Jeffrey Morris , James C. Yao , Hesham M. Amin , Ahmed Omar Kaseb
Background: Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) A is the standard population for active HCC therapy. The IGF-CTP score, comprises levels of type 1 insulin-like growth factor (IGF-1), bilirubin, INR, and albumin, significantly improved the prediction of overall survival (OS) in recently published studies. Our current study aimed to investigate the accuracy of the IGF-CTP score in predicting OS in HCC Child-Pugh A patients (pts) treated with local and/or systemic therapies (tx). The overall hypothesis is that the IGF-CTP score can further distinguish CP-A pts in terms of overall survival, PFS. Methods: Between 2014 and 2018, a total of 274 pts with new advanced HCC BCLC stage who had available baseline plasma IGF-1 level were retrospectively enrolled. Clinicopathologic features and treatment history were collected. We calculated IGF-CTP scores, used Kaplan-Meier method and log rank test to estimate and compare time to event outcomes between subgroups of patients. Results: 198 pts were CTP Class A, 209 patient underwent systemic tx, 65 underwent local tx [see table]; 161 were re-classified as IGF-CTP-A with a median OS of 16.09 months (95% CI = 13.06 to 23.29 months) (p <0.0001), whereas 37 patients were reclassified as intermediate risk (IGF-CTP-B) and had significantly shorter OS of 10.66 months (95% CI = 5.49 to 26.51) (p <0.0001). Conclusions: The results of this study support our biologically-driven hypothesis that IGF-CTP score is predictive of overall survival to therapy in advanced HCC treated with local and/or systemic therapy. Among HCC pts with CTP-A class, some are reclassified as IGF-CP-B/C and were found to have significantly poorer prognosis in terms of shorter OS. Future validation of the predictive ability of our IGF-1 score may lead to adopting it as a stratification tool in clinical trials as well as to predict HCC outcome and guide therapy decision in routine practice.
Therapy | Name | Frequency | Percent |
---|---|---|---|
Local therapy | Y90 or TACE | 35 | 12.7% |
Surgery or RFA | 30 | 10.9% | |
Systemic therapy | Sorafenib alone | 136 | 49.6% |
Sorafenib+ Local | 35 | 12.8% | |
Other systemic | 38 | 13.8% | |
Total | 274 | 100% |
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