IGF-1 Child-Turcotte-Pugh score as a predictor of overall survival to therapy in CTP-A, BCLC stage C patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma.

Authors

null

Yehia I. Abugabal

University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX

Yehia I. Abugabal , Aliya Qayyum , Manal Hassan , Lianchun Xiao , Dan G. Duda , Rikita Hatia , Sunyoung S. Lee , Robert A. Wolff , Roberto Pestana , Jeffrey Morris , James C. Yao , Hesham M. Amin , Ahmed Omar Kaseb

Organizations

University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, The University of Texas-MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center, Buffalo, NY, MD Anderson Cancer Center, São Paulo, Brazil, Department of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX

Research Funding

U.S. National Institutes of Health
U.S. National Institutes of Health

Background: Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) A is the standard population for active HCC therapy. The IGF-CTP score, comprises levels of type 1 insulin-like growth factor (IGF-1), bilirubin, INR, and albumin, significantly improved the prediction of overall survival (OS) in recently published studies. Our current study aimed to investigate the accuracy of the IGF-CTP score in predicting OS in HCC Child-Pugh A patients (pts) treated with local and/or systemic therapies (tx). The overall hypothesis is that the IGF-CTP score can further distinguish CP-A pts in terms of overall survival, PFS. Methods: Between 2014 and 2018, a total of 274 pts with new advanced HCC BCLC stage who had available baseline plasma IGF-1 level were retrospectively enrolled. Clinicopathologic features and treatment history were collected. We calculated IGF-CTP scores, used Kaplan-Meier method and log rank test to estimate and compare time to event outcomes between subgroups of patients. Results: 198 pts were CTP Class A, 209 patient underwent systemic tx, 65 underwent local tx [see table]; 161 were re-classified as IGF-CTP-A with a median OS of 16.09 months (95% CI = 13.06 to 23.29 months) (p <0.0001), whereas 37 patients were reclassified as intermediate risk (IGF-CTP-B) and had significantly shorter OS of 10.66 months (95% CI = 5.49 to 26.51) (p <0.0001). Conclusions: The results of this study support our biologically-driven hypothesis that IGF-CTP score is predictive of overall survival to therapy in advanced HCC treated with local and/or systemic therapy. Among HCC pts with CTP-A class, some are reclassified as IGF-CP-B/C and were found to have significantly poorer prognosis in terms of shorter OS. Future validation of the predictive ability of our IGF-1 score may lead to adopting it as a stratification tool in clinical trials as well as to predict HCC outcome and guide therapy decision in routine practice.

Therapy Name Frequency Percent
Local therapy Y90 or TACE 35 12.7%
Surgery or RFA 30 10.9%
Systemic therapy Sorafenib alone 136 49.6%
Sorafenib+ Local 35 12.8%
Other systemic 38 13.8%
Total 274 100%

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2020 Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Poster Session B: Hepatobiliary Cancer, Neuroendocrine/Carcinoid, Pancreatic Cancer, and Small Bowel Cancer

Track

Hepatobiliary Cancer,Neuroendocrine/Carcinoid,Pancreatic Cancer,Small Bowel Cancer,Other GI Cancer

Sub Track

Patient-Reported Outcomes and Real-World Evidence

Citation

J Clin Oncol 38, 2020 (suppl 4; abstr 488)

Abstract #

488

Poster Bd #

A13

Abstract Disclosures