University of California San Francisco Helen Diller Family Comprehensive Cancer Center, San Francisco, CA
Mark Jesus Mendoza Magbanua , Oleksandr Oleksandr Savenkov , Erik Asmus , Karla V. Ballman , Janet H Scott , John Park , Maura N. Dickler , Ann H. Partridge , Lisa A. Carey , Eric P. Winer , Hope S. Rugo
Background: CALGB 40503 randomized HR+ MBC postmenopausal pts to Let alone or Let+Bev as first-line therapy. Adding Bev to Let prolonged progression-free survival (PFS) but not overall survival (OS) (Dickler JCO 2016). We performed a correlative study to assess prognostic and predictive value of CTCs in this population. Methods: Blood was collected prior to initiation of treatment. CTCs were enumerated using US FDA-cleared CellSearch assay; samples with ≥5 CTCs per 7.5 mLs of blood were considered CTC-positive (CTC+). Correlation of CTCs with PFS and OS was assessed using Cox regression analysis. Median follow-up was 39 months (mo). Results: Of 343 pts treated, 294 had CTC data and were included in this analysis. Original study results that showed improved PFS (HR = 0.75; 95% CI: 0.59-0.96) but not OS (HR = 0.87; 95% CI: 0.65-1.18) in pts receiving Let+Bev compared to Let were recapitulated in this subset. In multivariable analysis, CTC+ pts (31%) had significantly reduced PFS (HR = 1.49; 95% CI: 1.12-1.97) and OS (HR = 2.08; 95% CI: 1.49-2.93) compared to CTC- pts. Moreover, CTC+ pts who did not receive Bev had worse PFS (HR = 2.31; 95% CI: 1.54-3.47) and OS (HR = 2.64; 95% CI: 1.59-4.40) (Table). CTC+ pts who received Bev had numerically longer median PFS (18.0 vs. 7.0 mo) and OS (33.6 vs. 27.1 mo) compared to CTC+ pts with no Bev; however, tests for interaction between CTC status and Bev (yes vs. no) were not statistically significant for PFS (p=0.70) or OS (p=0.84). Conclusions: CTCs were highly prognostic in this study involving addition of Bev to first-line Let in postmenopausal HR+ MBC. Further research to determine the potential predictive value of CTCs in the setting of both metastatic disease and early breast cancer is warranted. Support: U10CA180821, U10CA180882; Genentech; https://acknowledgments.alliancefound.org; NCT00601900. Survival in HR+ MBC pts receiving Let or Let+Bev stratified by CTC status. Clinical trial information: NCT00601900
Total | Events | Median survival in mo (95% CI) | Adjusted Hazard Ratio (95% CI) | Adjusted Likelihood-Ratio p-value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
PFS | 0.0012 | ||||
CTC-: Let+Bev | 108 | 70 | 18.4 (15.0-23.5) | 1.0 | |
CTC-: Let | 94 | 74 | 14.7 (11.4-18.9) | 1.44 (1.02-2.02) | |
CTC+: Let+Bev | 46 | 42 | 18.0 (13.6-23.7) | 1.44 (0.98-2.13) | |
CTC+: Let | 46 | 38 | 7.0 (2.8-10.9) | 2.31(1.54-3.47) | |
OS | 0.0003 | ||||
CTC-: Let+Bev | 108 | 35 | 49.1 (42.4-NE) | 1.0 | |
CTC-: Let | 94 | 44 | 45.0 (40.1-50.1) | 1.29 (0.82-2.03) | |
CTC+: Let+Bev | 46 | 34 | 33.6 (26.6-40.0) | 2.20 (1.37-3.55) | |
CTC+: Let | 46 | 28 | 27.1 (20.6-36.1) | 2.64 (1.59-4.40) |
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