Peking University Cancer Hospital and Institute, Beijing Cancer Hospital, Beijing, China
Peng-ju Chen , Ting-ting Sun , Tian-le Li , Irene Dankwa-Mullan , Alexandra Urman , Ching-Kun Wang , Yue Zhang , Yun-feng Yao , Guo-li He , Kyu Rhee , Aiwen WU
Background: Studies have demonstrated the benefits of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with stage III colon cancer. However, benefits of adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with Stage II disease are less certain. Various factors, including clinicopathologic, and MSI phenotypes, are typically used to guide care, but treatment in high-risk patients remain variable. Clinical decision support (CDS) technologies armed with machine learning continue to demonstrate potential to transform standard of care, decrease treatment disparities and improve patient quality of cancer care. Methods: A cross-sectional retrospective concordance study was conducted to assess recommendations provided by IBM Watson for Oncology (WFO), a CDS system, and a multidisciplinary tumor board (MDT) decision for treatment of Stage II colon cancer. 229 patients seen at Beijing Cancer Hospital were used in the analysis. Clinical and pathological features associated with worse prognosis and defined as high risk by the MDT, included T4 primary, high-grade, poorly differentiated histology (grade 3/4 excluding MSI-H), lymphovascular invasion, bowel obstruction or perforation, perineural invasion, and inadequately sampled lymph nodes. Subgroup concordance analyses of clinicopathologic features were conducted to examine the groups that might derive some benefit from the use of WFO where evidence was limited. Results: Overall concordance was 89.1% (204/229) with high-risk subgroup results ranging from 87.5% (p = 0.68) in T4 primary to 92.7% (p = 0.02) in poorly differentiated histology. Concordance in MSI subgroup was highly significant, MSI-H 71.4% vs MSI-L 94.5% (p = 0.0). Concordance with actual treatment decisions for tumor grade was statistically significant (p = 0.02). Reasons for non-concordance included different age threshold for oxaliplatin in elderly patients and preference for capecitabine for MSI-H. Conclusions: WFO generated treatment recommendation for Stage II colon cancer can potentially augment the clinical decision-making process within MDT. Future studies are needed to assess benefits for integrating local treatment and evidence for use outside of MDT settings.
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