Economic impact of next generation sequencing vs sequential single-gene testing modalities to detect genomic alterations in metastatic non-small cell lung cancer using a decision analytic model.

Authors

Nathan A. Pennell

Nathan A. Pennell

Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH

Nathan A. Pennell , Alex Mutebi , Zheng-Yi Zhou , Marie Louise Ricculli , Wenxi Tang , Annie Guerin , Tom Arnhart , Kenneth W. Culver , Gregory Alan Otterson , Helen Wang

Organizations

Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, East Hanover, NJ, Analysis Group, New York, NY, Analysis Group, Inc., Montreal, QC, Canada, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH

Research Funding

Pharmaceutical/Biotech Company

Background: Metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (mNSCLC) patients (pts) should be tested for genomic alterations (GA) to inform treatment decisions. This study assesses the economic impact of next generation sequencing (NGS) vs sequential single-gene testing modalities for Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) Medicare and US commercial payers. Methods: In a decision analytic model, newly diagnosed mNSCLC pts were modeled to receive PD-L1 and GA tests (EGFR, ALK, ROS1, BRAF, MET, HER2, RET, NTRK1) using 1) sequential tests, 2) exclusionary mutation (KRAS) test followed by sequential tests 3) panel test or 4) upfront NGS, including all GAs and KRAS. Pts in modalities 1-3 were tested for GAs with currently approved treatment (EGFR, ALK, ROS1, BRAF) followed by single-gene tests or NGS for other GAs (e.g., HER2); a proportion were assumed to need rebiopsy. Inputs included turnaround time, unit costs and mNSCLC prevalence based on literature, public data and expert opinion. Time to receive results and total cost (test + rebiopsy) were calculated for each modality and compared with NGS. Results: For hypothetical 1 million-member plans, an estimated 2,066 CMS Medicare and 156 commercially insured mNSCLC pts would be tested for GA. Estimated time to receive results was 2.0 weeks for NGS and panel, 2.7 and 2.8 weeks faster than exclusionary and sequential, respectively. Using CMS reimbursement, NGS represented savings of $1,393,678 vs exclusionary, $1,530,869 vs sequential and $2,140,795 vs panel. For commercial payers, NGS remained the least expensive by $3,809 (vs exclusionary) to $250,842 (vs panel). Conclusions: Our model estimated that upfront NGS leads to the same (as panel) or shorter (vs exclusionary and sequential testing) wait time for results and the lowest payer cost to establish GA status for newly diagnosed mNSCLC pts to inform treatment decisions.

SequentialExclusionaryPanelNGS
CMS Medicare N = 2 066
Total cost3 721 3683 584 1774 331 2952 190 499
Savings with NGS1 530 8691 393 6782 140 795
Commercial N = 156
Total cost747 771624 178871 211620 369
Savings with NGS127 4023 809250 842

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Abstract Details

Meeting

2018 ASCO Annual Meeting

Session Type

Poster Session

Session Title

Lung Cancer—Non-Small Cell Metastatic

Track

Lung Cancer

Sub Track

Metastatic Non–Small Cell Lung Cancer

Citation

J Clin Oncol 36, 2018 (suppl; abstr 9031)

DOI

10.1200/JCO.2018.36.15_suppl.9031

Abstract #

9031

Poster Bd #

354

Abstract Disclosures