Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT
Kamyar Ghabili , Kevin Nguyen , Amanda Lu , Walter Hsiang , Brian M. Shuch , Michael Leapman
Background: The National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk classification scheme for prostate cancer (PCa) encompasses several definitions and has been shown to contain significant heterogeneity. Because patients possessing a single intermediate-risk (IR) feature may be regarded as ineligible for active surveillance (AS), we aimed to compare pathologic and early oncologic outcomes between those with low-risk (LR) and IR features based on the number of criteria met. Methods: We queried the National Cancer Database (NCDB) to identify men with NCCN LR (cT1-T2a, prostate-specific antigen [PSA] < 10 ng/mL, and Gleason score (GS)≤6) and IR PCa diagnosed from 2010-2014 who were treated with radical prostatectomy (RP). Patients with IR PCa were stratified based on a single factor: clinical stage (cT2b-T2c), PSA (10-20 ng/mL), GS 3+4, or GS 4+3 alone. The pathologic outcomes including any Gleason upgrade, and adverse pathology (primary Gleason 4 or ≥pT3 at RP), and receipt of adjuvant radiation therapy (RT) were compared between the LR and IR groups. Odds ratios for pathologic outcomes and receipt of adjuvant RT were computed using logistic regression analyses. Results: Of 181,847 men treated with RP, we identified 30.7% and 37.1% with LR and IR PCa, respectively. Of 67,623 with IR PCa, 4,075 (6%) were due to clinical stage alone, 5,004 (7.4%) by PSA, 43,409 (64.2%) by GS 3+4, and 15,135 (22.4%) by GS 4+3. Patients meeting IR by clinical stage alone had similar risks of adverse pathology as LR patients (OR 1.03, 95%CI 0.94-1.13, p = 0.49). In contrast, those meeting IR by PSA alone had higher risks of adverse pathology compared with LR individuals (OR 2.20, 95%CI 2.05-2.36, p < 0.001). Moreover, receipt of adjuvant RT was similar among LR and IR patients by clinical stage alone (p = 0.62), and higher among patients meeting IR by PSA alone (OR 2.99, 95% CI 2.43-3.69, p < 0.001). Conclusions: Based on national cancer registry data, early outcomes among men meeting the NCCN IR definition for PCa are heterogeneous. IR patients by clinical stage alone had similar rates of adverse pathology as did LR group. Broadened eligibility for AS should be considered to include those meeting favorable IR definitions.
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